Serie A
Juventus - Lazio
02/08/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
31%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
24%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Juventus's home advantage: Conceding only 0.57 goals per home game, the Allianz Stadium is a fortress, while Lazio struggles on the road
- Offensive disparity: Juventus consistently scores more goals (1.70 per game) than Lazio (1.04), who have failed to score in almost half their matches
- Defensive stability: Juventus's defense is among the league's best, giving them a solid foundation against Lazio's inconsistent attack
Risk Factors
- Fatigue for Juventus: The team played just 3 days ago, while Lazio had 9 days of rest, which could be a disadvantage
- Balanced H2H record: The head-to-head record is even, and Lazio won the last encounter, suggesting a close match
- Juventus's attacking concerns: The injury list includes several key offensive players, which could limit their goal-scoring threat
Overview
Juventus (4th place, 45 points) hosts Lazio (8th place, 32 points) at the Allianz Stadium
The Serie A match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 8:45 PM
Juventus is aiming to maintain contact with the Champions League spots, while Lazio is trying to climb the table
Form
Juventus's form according to the table: WWWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 games, the summary shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Lazio's form according to the table: LWLLW
In the last 5 games, the summary shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Juventus shows more consistent form in the league, while Lazio appears more erratic
Statistics
Offensively, Juventus is significantly stronger with an average of 1.70 goals per game compared to Lazio's 1.04
Defensively, Juventus is also more stable, conceding an average of only 0.78 goals, while Lazio concedes 0.91
Juventus is particularly dominant at home: 1.64 goals scored versus only 0.57 goals conceded per home game
Lazio has failed to score in 11 of 23 season matches, indicating an inconsistent offense
Head-to-Head
The record of the last 5 head-to-head matches is perfectly balanced
Both Juventus and Lazio have secured 2 wins each, with one draw
The goal difference is narrowly in favor of Juventus at 5:4
Lazio won the last encounter 1:0
Key Players
For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız is a decisive attacker with 8 season goals and 4 assists
Jonathan David is showing rising form with 5 goals and 4 assists
Weston McKennie has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists and is also in ascending form
For Lazio, Danilo Cataldi is a key player in midfield with 3 goals and 2 assists
Pedro is also on an upward trend with 2 goals and one assist
Goalkeepers
Juventus's starting goalkeeper, Michele Di Gregorio, has contributed to the team's 9 clean sheets in 20 appearances
Lazio's Ivan Provedel has kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches this season and holds a higher average rating
Influences
The Allianz Stadium is a high-scoring venue, with an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent matches
Juventus has a strong home record on natural grass with 6 wins from 10 games (20:6 goals)
Lazio finds it tougher away on natural grass and has a balanced record (9:11 goals)