Serie A
Lecce - Udinese
02/08/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.7
2.0
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
22%
Draw
30%
Away Win
48%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
12%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
52%
Away or Draw
78%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Key Factors
- Drastic form discrepancy: Lecce is winless in five games (LLLDL), while Udinese is on a strong run (WDLWW)
- Lecce's offensive weakness: With only 0.57 goals per game and 13 matches without scoring, Lecce faces a solid defense
- Historical dominance: Udinese has clearly dominated recent encounters and enters the match with a psychological advantage
Risk Factors
- Udinese's missing top striker: The absence of Keinan Davis (7 season goals) could reduce the visitors' attacking power
- Low-scoring stadium: The low goal rate at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (1.8 goals/game) favors tight results that can be decided by chance
- Lecce's home defense: Despite their poor league position, Lecce's defense is relatively stable at home and could make things difficult for Udinese
Overview
Lecce, in 17th place with 18 points, hosts Udinese, who are in 9th place with 32 points
The Serie A match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 3:00 PM at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
This is a crucial match for Lecce in their fight against relegation, while Udinese aims to solidify their mid-table position
Form
The form of the two teams differs significantly
Lecce (Form: LLLDL) has not won any of their last five matches, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Udinese (Form: WDLWW) is in strong form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss from their last five games
The form curve clearly favors the visitors
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Lecce's offense is one of the weakest in the league, averaging 0.57 goals per game
They failed to score in 13 of their 23 league matches
Udinese averages 1.13 goals per game and is more dangerous away (1.17 goals per game) than Lecce is at home (0.58)
Defensively, Lecce concedes an average of 1.30 goals, while Udinese concedes 1.48
At the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, 20% of games saw both teams score, and 40% had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
The historical record is dominated by Udinese
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Udinese has won 4 times, with 1 match ending in a draw
Lecce has not won any of these matches
The goal difference is 8:3 in favor of Udinese
The last meeting ended in a 3-2 victory for Udinese
Key Players
For Lecce, Medon Berisha and Lameck Banda have each scored 2 league goals, with Berisha also providing 3 assists
Lassana Coulibaly and Nikola Stulic have also scored 2 goals each
For Udinese, Keinan Davis is the top scorer with 7 goals and 3 assists
NicolĆ² Zaniolo follows with 5 goals and 2 assists, while Arthur Atta has contributed with 2 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Lecce's Wladimiro Falcone has kept 7 clean sheets in 23 appearances this season
Udinese's Maduka Okoye has played in 15 matches, with the team keeping a total of 5 clean sheets
Influences
Lecce has a poor record on natural grass, with only 1 win in 10 matches (1W-2D-7L)
Udinese is more balanced on this surface away from home, with 4 wins and 4 losses from 10 games
The stadium is known for low-scoring games, with an average of 1.8 goals and only 20% of matches where both teams scored