Serie A
Genoa - Napoli
02/07/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.4
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
35%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
22%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Statistical advantage for Napoli: The visitors concede significantly fewer goals (0.91 per game) than Genoa (1.48)
- Contrasting form trends: Genoa's goal scoring has recently increased (2.0 goals per game), while Napoli's has decreased (1.2)
- Historical dominance: Napoli is unbeaten in the last five head-to-head matches against Genoa (2 wins, 3 draws)
Risk Factors
- Negative trend for Napoli: The visitors have recently conceded more goals (1.6 per game) than their season average (0.91)
- Genoa's home weakness: Despite the home advantage, Genoa has a negative record at their own stadium this season (3W-3D-4L)
- Unclear personnel situation: The datasets do not list any injured or suspended players, making it difficult to assess the actual squad strength
Overview
Genoa, in 16th place with 23 points, hosts Napoli, who are in 3rd place with 46 points, at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
The Serie A match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 6:00 PM
Genoa is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while Napoli aims to keep pace with the top of the table
Form
Genoa (DWDWL) shows mixed form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
Napoli (WDLLW) is also inconsistent with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Neither team comes into this match on a clear winning streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Napoli is stronger offensively with a season average of 1.43 goals per game compared to Genoa's 1.17
The defensive difference is even more significant: Napoli concedes an average of 0.91 goals, while Genoa concedes 1.48
Napoli has kept 9 clean sheets, compared to Genoa's 4
Away from home, Napoli scores an average of 1.4 goals, while Genoa concedes 1.5 goals per game at home
Head-to-Head
Genoa has not won in the last 5 direct encounters
Napoli won 2 times, while 3 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 9-7 in favor of Napoli
The last meeting was won by Napoli with a score of 2-1
Key Players
For Genoa, striker Lorenzo Colombo (5 season goals) and midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi (4 goals, 3 assists) are the key offensive players
For Napoli, Rasmus Højlund (6 season goals) and midfielder Scott McTominay (5 goals, 3 assists) are the most dangerous players
Goalkeepers
Genoa's goalkeeper is Justin Bijlow
Alex Meret is in goal for Napoli
Napoli has kept 9 clean sheets this season, whereas Genoa has managed 4
Influences
The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in recent matches
Both teams scored in 60% of these games
Napoli has a better away record on grass (4W-4D-2L) than Genoa's home record (3W-3D-4L)