Serie A
Fiorentina - Torino
02/07/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.9
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
57%
Draw
28%
Away Win
15%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
85%
Away or Draw
43%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Matchup Advantage: Fiorentina's solid attack (1.81 expected goals) meets Torino's very vulnerable away defense (2.0 goals conceded on average)
- Physical Advantage: Torino is suffering from fatigue, having had only 3 days since their last match, while Fiorentina had 7 days of rest
- Historical Dominance: Fiorentina is unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head encounters (2 wins, 3 draws), giving them a psychological edge
Risk Factors
- Poor Form and League Position: Despite being favored, Fiorentina is in 18th place and has lost their last 3 games, reflecting their season's performance
- Data Gaps: Key 'Squad Impact' data is missing, which limits the model's ability to accurately assess the impact of the lineup on performance
Overview
Fiorentina (18th place, 17 points) host Torino (13th place, 26 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi
This is a Serie A match on February 7, 2026, 8:45 PM
For Fiorentina, it's a crucial game in the relegation battle, while Torino aims to solidify their position in the mid-table
Form
Fiorentina: DWLLL - 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses
Fiorentina is on a negative streak with 3 consecutive losses
Torino: WLLWL - 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses
Torino's form is inconsistent
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Fiorentina scores an average of 1.09 goals per game this season and concedes 1.57
Torino averages 0.96 goals scored and 1.74 goals conceded
Fiorentina's home advantage is evident defensively, conceding only 1.21 goals per home game compared to 2.11 away
Torino is particularly vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game
At Stadio Artemio Franchi, matches average 3.2 total goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of the games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2 times, while Torino recorded no wins, and 3 games ended in a draw
The goal difference in these fixtures is 3-1 in favor of Fiorentina
The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw
Fiorentina has been the more dominant side in recent meetings
Key Players
Rolando Mandragora is a key player for Fiorentina's offense with 6 goals this season
Moise Kean has contributed 5 goals
Albert Gudmundsson stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists
Nikola Vlašić is Torino's top scorer with 5 goals and 3 assists
Ché Adams has scored 4 goals this season
Giovanni Simeone has also scored 5 goals this season
Goalkeepers
David de Gea has played in 23 matches for Fiorentina
The team has kept 3 clean sheets this season
For Torino, Alberto Paleari has featured in 14 matches
Torino has managed to keep 9 clean sheets this season
Influences
Fiorentina concedes significantly fewer goals at home (1.21 average) than away (2.11)
The stadium statistics suggest a high-scoring game, with an average of 3.2 goals and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score'
Both teams have similar records on natural grass, indicating no clear advantage from the surface