Serie A
Inter - Juventus
02/14/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.7
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
5%3:0
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
58%
Draw
22%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
50%
Under 3.5
50%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
42%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Form advantage for Inter: Inter enters this top clash with a perfect streak of five wins, while Juventus has been inconsistent recently
- Offensive dominance: With 2.38 goals per game, Inter has the best attack in the league and faces a solid, but not impenetrable, Juventus defense
- Fortress Meazza: Inter is extremely strong at home, conceding only 0.71 goals on average, which provides a stable foundation for their attacking play
Risk Factors
- Historical record: Juventus has a slightly positive record in recent head-to-head matches and won the last high-scoring encounter
- Juventus's away strength: Although their form fluctuates, Juventus scores more goals away (1.78 goals/game) than at home, indicating their threat on the road
- Juventus's striker absences: The loss of forwards like D. Vlahović could impact Juventus's ability to score in crucial moments
Overview
Top clash in Serie A: league leaders Inter (1st place, 58 points) host Juventus (4th place, 46 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
The match takes place on February 14, 2026, at 8:45 PM
Inter aims to extend their lead at the top, while Juventus looks to keep pace with the leaders
The prediction favors a home win with a probability of 58%
Form
Inter are in outstanding shape, having won all of their last five competitive matches (Form: WWWWW)
They are on an impressive winning streak of 5 consecutive victories
Juventus, on the other hand, have been more inconsistent with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games (Form: WDWLD)
Inter's league form is WLLWW, while Juventus are unbeaten in their last league matches with WWWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Inter boasts the best attack in the league, averaging 2.38 goals per game, and 2.36 goals at home
Juventus averages 1.71 goals per game and is slightly more dangerous away from home with 1.78 goals per game
Both defenses are among the best in the league: Inter concedes just 0.79 goals per game, while Juventus concedes 0.83
Recent matches at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza have seen an average of 3.4 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Juventus have a slight edge with two wins to Inter's one, with two matches ending in a draw
The goal difference is also very close, at 10:9 in favor of Juventus
The last meeting was a goal-fest that Juventus won 4-3
Key Players
For Inter, hopes are pinned on top scorer Lautaro Martínez, who has already contributed 14 goals and 4 assists this season
He is supported by the extremely dangerous defender Federico Dimarco with 5 goals and 12 assists
For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız (8 goals, 4 assists) and Jonathan David (5 goals, 4 assists) are the key offensive players
Goalkeepers
The goalkeeping duel will be between Yann Sommer for Inter and Michele Di Gregorio for Juventus
Inter has managed 13 clean sheets this season, one of the best defensive records in the league
Juventus has achieved this in 9 matches
Influences
The home advantage for Inter at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is a crucial factor, as they concede only 0.71 goals per game at home
Recent games at the stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of the recent matches at this venue