Serie A
Genoa - Torino
02/22/2026, 11:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
28%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Torino's defensive weakness: The visitors concede an average of 1.83 goals away from home, which should create scoring opportunities for Genoa
- Absences for Torino: Torino has a long injury list, including key attacker Ché Adams, which weakens their offense
- High-scoring home games: Genoa's stadium sees an average of 3.2 goals, suggesting an open game where Torino's more vulnerable defense could be the difference
Risk Factors
- Genoa's poor form: Genoa has won only one of their last five games, making a home win uncertain despite being the favorite
- Head-to-head favors Torino: Genoa has not won any of the last five encounters against Torino (3 draws, 2 losses)
- Torino's missing goal threat: With Ché Adams out, only 68% of the seasonal goal threat is available in the squad
Overview
Genoa (16th place, 24 points) hosts Torino (14th place, 27 points) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
This is an important match in the Serie A relegation battle
The fixture takes place on February 22, 2026, at 12:30 PM
The mathematical analysis favors Genoa with a 41% win probability
Form
Genoa form: D-W-L-L-D (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 games)
Torino form: L-W-L-D-L (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last 5 games)
Both teams are showing poor form, with Torino having lost three of their last five matches
Genoa's last result was a 0-0 draw against Cremonese, while Torino lost 1-2 to Bologna
Statistics
Genoa scores an average of 1.16 goals per game, while Torino scores 1.00
Defensively, Torino is more vulnerable with 1.76 goals conceded per game compared to Genoa's 1.48
Torino concedes an average of 1.83 goals in away matches
In Genoa's last 5 home games at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, there was an average of 3.2 goals per game
Head-to-Head
Genoa has not won in the last 5 head-to-head encounters
Torino won 2 times, and 3 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 4:2 in favor of Torino
Torino won the last meeting 2-1
Key Players
For Genoa, Ruslan Malinovskyi stands out with 5 season goals and 3 assists, and his form is rising
Lorenzo Colombo is Genoa's top scorer with 6 goals
Defender Leo ĂstigĂ„rd also contributes to the attack with 4 goals
For Torino, Nikola VlaĆĄiÄ is the key player with 6 goals and 3 assists
Giovanni Simeone has scored 5 goals so far this season
Cesare Casadei scored recently and has a total of 3 goals for the season
Goalkeepers
In goal for Genoa is Justin Bijlow
The team has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Alberto Paleari is the goalkeeper for Torino
His team has achieved 9 clean sheets this season
Influences
Genoa scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.50 goals at home
Recent games at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals per game
In 3 of the last 5 home games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals
Both teams play on a grass surface