Serie A
Juventus - Como
02/21/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.9
2.1
1:2
8%2:2
7%2:1
7%1:3
6%2:3
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
23%
Away Win
47%
Goals
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
74%
Under 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
54%
Under 3.5
46%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
53%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
73%
No
27%
Key Factors
- Significant weakening of Juventus: Key players like Jonathan David and Bremer are missing, leaving only 51% of the usual goal threat available
- Como's strong defense: Conceding only 0.76 goals per game and with 12 clean sheets, Como has one of the best defensive records in the league
- Mathematical prediction favors Como: The analysis model gives the visitors a higher win probability (47%) than the home team (30%)
Risk Factors
- Juventus's poor form: The hosts have lost three of their last five matches and are in a form crisis
- Potential fatigue for Como: The visitors have had only three days of rest since their last match
- Como also not at full strength: The absence of Nico Paz and Maxence Caqueret means only 56% of their goal threat is available
Overview
Juventus (5th place, 46 points) hosts Como (6th place, 42 points) at the Allianz Stadium
This is a direct clash for the European spots in Serie A
The match is scheduled for February 21, 2026, 3:00 PM
Form
Juventus's form (all competitions): W-L-D-L-L
The hosts have won only one of their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
They are coming off two consecutive defeats
Como's form (all competitions): W-D-D-L-D
The visitors are unbeaten in their last three games, but have also secured only one win in their last five outings (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Juventus is slightly stronger with an average of 1.72 goals per game compared to Como's 1.56 goals
Defensively, however, Como is significantly more stable, conceding only 0.76 goals per game compared to Juventus's 0.92
Juventus is strong at home, scoring an average of 1.67 goals while conceding only 0.67 at the Allianz Stadium
Como is also solid away, with 1.50 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded
Head-to-Head
In the 3 previous head-to-head encounters, Juventus has the upper hand with 2 wins, while Como has won once
The goal difference is 5-3 in favor of Juventus
However, Como won the last meeting 2-0
Key Players
For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız (8 season goals, 4 assists) and Weston McKennie (4 goals, 4 assists) could be decisive
For Como, Anastasios Douvikas (8 season goals) and Martin Baturina (4 goals, 3 assists) are the key players in attack
Goalkeepers
In goal for Juventus is Michele Di Gregorio, whose team has kept 9 clean sheets this season
For Como, Jean Butez is the goalkeeper; his team has already kept a clean sheet 12 times
Influences
Juventus enjoys a clear home advantage, conceding only 0.67 goals per home game this season
Recent matches at the Allianz Stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals in the last five games