Serie A
Sassuolo - Hellas Verona
02/20/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.2
0.9
1:1
15%1:0
13%0:0
13%2:0
10%2:1
8%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
32%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Verona's offensive crisis: Only 11% of their seasonal goal threat is available, with top scorers Gift Orban (7 goals) and Giovane (3 goals) missing
- Classic league table disparity: In-form Sassuolo (10th) faces the winless, bottom-of-the-table Hellas Verona (20th)
- Vulnerable away defense: Verona concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away game, which should benefit Sassuolo despite their own weaknesses
Risk Factors
- Sassuolo's personnel issues: With Cristian Volpato absent, only 69% of the season's goal threat is in the squad
- Sassuolo's weak home defense: The team concedes an average of 1.9 goals per game at home
- Low-scoring games at the venue: The last 5 home games saw an average of only 2.4 goals, and both teams scored only once
Overview
Sassuolo (10th place, 32 points) host Hellas Verona (20th place, 15 points) at MAPEI Stadium
Serie A match on February 20, 2026, 8:45 PM
Sassuolo is playing for a solid mid-table position, while Hellas Verona desperately needs points in the relegation battle
Form
Sassuolo form (all competitions): LWWLW
The team has won 3 of its last 5 matches and lost 2
Most recently, they secured a 2-1 victory against Udinese
Hellas Verona form (all competitions): DLLDL
Verona is winless in 5 matches, with 3 losses and 2 draws
Their last game ended in a 1-2 defeat to Parma
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Sassuolo scores an average of 1.16 goals per game this season and concedes 1.4
Hellas Verona averages 0.76 goals per game and concedes 1.72
At home, Sassuolo's defense is vulnerable (1.9 goals conceded per game)
Verona is extremely weak away from home, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per game
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo has won 3 and Hellas Verona has won 2
There have been no draws
The goal difference is 7-5 in favor of Sassuolo
Sassuolo won the last encounter 1-0
Key Players
Domenico Berardi is a key player for Sassuolo with 5 season goals and 3 assists
Andrea Pinamonti has also contributed 5 goals and 3 assists
Armand Laurienté is another important attacking force with 4 goals and 3 assists
For Hellas Verona, Victor Nelsson is a mainstay in defense with 25 appearances this season
Amin Sarr has played 24 times this season but is still waiting for his first goal
Martin Frese has scored one goal in 19 appearances
Goalkeepers
Arijanet Murić of Sassuolo and Lorenzo Montipò of Hellas Verona will face each other
Both teams have kept 5 clean sheets this season
Sassuolo has conceded a total of 35 goals, while Hellas Verona has conceded 43
Influences
Sassuolo has a mixed record at home, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game
Recent matches at the MAPEI Stadium have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in only one of these last 5 home games