Serie A
Pisa - Bologna
03/02/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.8
1.8
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
9%1:3
6%2:1
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
26%
Away Win
53%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
47%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Drastic difference in form: Bologna is unbeaten in five games (4 wins), while Pisa is winless in five (4 losses)
- Clear league table situation: 19th place meets 9th place, reflecting the different season performances of both teams
- Historical dominance and defensive weakness: Bologna has dominated recent encounters (8:0 goals), and Pisa's home defense is extremely vulnerable, conceding 3.2 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Bologna: The team has had only four days of rest since their last match, which could lead to signs of strain
- Fluctuating attack for Bologna: Bologna's goal production has recently slightly decreased (1.2 goals on average) compared to their season average (1.5)
- Weak Pisa offense: With an average of just 3.0 shots on target per game, Pisa might struggle to seriously threaten Bologna's defense
Overview
Pisa, in 19th place in the table with 15 points, hosts Bologna, who are 9th with 36 points
The Serie A match will take place on March 2, 2026, at 6:30 PM at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Pisa is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Bologna aims to solidify their mid-table position
Form
Pisa is going through a difficult phase with the form LLDLL from their last five matches
The team has not won a single game in this period, with one draw and four losses
Bologna, on the other hand, is in excellent shape with the form DWWWW
They are unbeaten in five games and have won their last four matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Pisa has one of the weakest attacks in the league with only 20 goals in 26 games (average of 0.77 per game)
Their defense is particularly vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per home game
Bologna is more solid offensively with 1.35 goals per game and concedes an average of only 1.12 goals away
In 13 of Bologna's 26 season games, there were more than 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last four direct encounters, Pisa has not won a single match
Bologna has dominated the record with three wins and one draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Bologna at 8:0
The last meeting ended in a decisive 4-0 victory for Bologna
Key Players
Stefano Moreo is Pisa's top scorer with 5 season goals and is showing rising form
In midfield, Michel Aebischer is a key player who has already scored one goal this season
Antonio Caracciolo is an experienced defender on the Pisa team
For Bologna, Santiago Castro is the most clinical attacker with 7 goals
Nikola Moro in midfield is showing an upward trend with two assists in recent games
Jhon LucumĂ is an important part of Bologna's defense
Goalkeepers
NĂcolas is expected to be in goal for Pisa
The team has kept 5 clean sheets in the current season
For Bologna, Lukasz Skorupski is expected between the posts
Bologna has managed to keep a clean sheet 7 times this season
Influences
Pisa's home weakness is glaring, with an average of 3.2 goals conceded at the Arena Garibaldi
The stadium's statistics show high-scoring encounters with an average of 2.8 goals per game and an Over 2.5 rate of 60% in the last five matches
This suggests that Pisa's defense is regularly put under pressure