Serie A
Como - Lecce
02/28/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.5
0.8
1:0
13%2:0
12%1:1
12%0:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Como
Lecce
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
59%
Draw
26%
Away Win
15%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
85%
Away or Draw
41%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- League table disparity: Como is fighting for European spots (6th place), while Lecce is deep in a relegation battle (18th place)
- Massive home strength vs. away weakness: Como is dominant at home with 1.62 goals per game, whereas Lecce scores only 0.67 goals away
- Defensive stability vs. weak attack: Como's defense concedes just 0.73 goals per game, while Lecce has one of the league's weakest offenses with only 0.68 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Como's declining goal threat: Their recent goal production (1.3 goals per game) is below their season average (2.0)
- Lecce showing fighting spirit: Despite their league position, Lecce has won two of their last four matches
Overview
Como (6th place, 45 points) hosts Lecce (18th place, 24 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A match on February 28, 2026, 3:00 PM
The home team is aiming to secure a European spot, while the visitors urgently need points in their relegation battle
Form
Como Form (all competitions): DDLDW
In the last five matches, there has been one win, three draws, and one loss
They recently achieved a 2-0 victory away at Juventus
Lecce Form (all competitions): DLWWL
Lecce recorded two wins and two losses with one draw in their last five games
Their last match was a 0-2 defeat against Inter
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Como is very strong at home, averaging 1.62 goals scored and conceding only 0.69 goals per home game
Lecce struggles away, scoring an average of just 0.67 goals while conceding 1.25
Como has kept 13 clean sheets this season, while Lecce has managed 8
Both teams scored in 10 of Como's 26 matches, and in 8 of Lecce's 25 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Como dominated with three wins, while Lecce won only once, and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Como at 9:2
Como won the last meeting 3:0
Key Players
Anastasios Douvikas is Como's top scorer with eight goals this season
JesĂșs RodrĂguez has already provided six assists
MĂĄximo Perrone is a key player in midfield with two goals and three assists
For Lecce, Lameck Banda is the most dangerous attacker with three goals and two assists
Lassana Coulibaly is showing rising form in midfield
Ylber Ramadani is also an important midfielder with a rising trend
Goalkeepers
Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez has kept 13 clean sheets in 26 games this season
His counterpart, Wladimiro Falcone of Lecce, has 8 clean sheets in 25 appearances
Influences
Como has a clear home advantage and is particularly strong at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, with a positive goal difference of 21:9
The last five matches at this stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.0 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored in three of Como's last five home games