Serie A
Juventus - Pisa
03/07/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
12%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Juventus
Pisa
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
26%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 55% for Juventus
- Juventus' offensive strength (1.70 season goals) meets Pisa's vulnerable defense (1.63 season goals conceded)
- Pisa is in a negative form trend with 3 consecutive losses and stagnating goal production (0.5 goals in recent games)
Risk Factors
- Juventus' current form is volatile with 3 losses in the last 5 games
- Pisa's offense is counter-oriented and generates only 3.0 shots on target on average
- Pisa's negative form trend is underlined by stagnating goal production of only 0.5 goals per game in recent matches
Overview
Juventus (6th place, 47 points) host Pisa (19th place, 15 points) at the Juventus Stadium
Serie A match on March 7, 2026, 8:45 PM
Juventus aims for a home victory to stay connected to the top of the table
Pisa is fighting relegation at the bottom of the table
Form
Juventus' form in the last 5 games (all competitions): LLLWD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
The last game ended in a draw
Pisa's form in the last 5 games (all competitions): LDLLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Pisa has 3 consecutive losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Juventus scores an average of 1.70 goals per game and concedes 1.04 goals
At home, Juventus scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes an average of 0.80 goals
Pisa scores an average of 0.74 goals per game and concedes 1.63 goals
Away, Pisa scores an average of 0.73 goals and concedes an average of 1.23 goals
At the Juventus Stadium, an average of 3.2 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games at the Juventus Stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams
Juventus won this single game 2:0 against Pisa
The last encounter took place on December 27, 2025
Juventus has dominated the head-to-head record
Key Players
For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız (8 goals, 4 assists), Jonathan David (5 goals, 4 assists), and Weston McKennie (4 goals, 4 assists) are key players
Kenan Yıldız shows a rising form trend, as does Jonathan David
For Pisa, Stefano Moreo (5 goals, 1 assist), Michel Aebischer (1 goal, 1 assist), and Rafiu Durosinmi (1 goal, 1 assist) are noteworthy
Not listed for Pisa: Matteo Tramoni, who was responsible for 2 goals and 2 assists this season
Goalkeepers
Mattia Perin is Juventus' goalkeeper and has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Nícolas is Pisa's goalkeeper with 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
Juventus shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.67 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded
The Juventus Stadium averages 3.2 goals per game