Serie A
Cagliari - Como
03/07/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.6
2.2
1.6
0:1
17%0:2
15%0:0
12%1:1
12%1:2
8%What influences the xG?
Cagliari
Como
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
11%
Draw
27%
Away Win
62%
Goals
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
38%
Away or Draw
89%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Key Factors
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a high win probability of 62% for Como
- Como's Away Strength: Averaging 1.67 goals scored and conceding only 0.83 goals per away game
- Cagliari's Poor Form: With WLLDD in the last five games and only 1 win
Risk Factors
- Cagliari's Offensive: Averaging only 3.0 shots on target per game, indicating a lack of efficiency
- Low-Scoring Matches at the Venue: Sardegna Arena shows a BTTS rate of 0% and an Over 2.5 rate of 20% in the last 5 games
Overview
Cagliari (13th place, 30 points) host Como (5th place, 48 points) at the Sardegna Arena. The Serie A match takes place on March 7, 2026, 3:00 PM. While Cagliari battles against relegation, Como aims to solidify its position in the European spots
Form
Cagliari's form in their last five competitive matches is WLLDD, which translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Como's current form is LDWWD, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The away team has a slightly better recent form. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Cagliari averages 1.07 home goals and concedes 1.07 home goals per game. Como shows a strong away performance, averaging 1.67 goals scored and conceding only 0.83 goals. At Sardegna Arena, there's an average of 1.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 0 out of 5 matches, and 1 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters, Cagliari secured 1 win, Como achieved 1 win, and there were 3 draws. The goal difference is even at 5:5. The last match on November 8, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
Key Players
For Cagliari, key players include Sebastiano Esposito (3 goals, 5 assists), Marco Palestra (1 goal, 4 assists), and Michael Folorunsho (2 goals, 0 assists). Como's crucial players are Nico Paz (9 goals, 6 assists), Anastasios Douvikas (9 goals, 1 assist), and Måximo Perrone (2 goals, 4 assists). For Cagliari, Gianluca Gaetano (2G/3A), Semih Kılıçsoy (4G/0A), and Luca Mazzitelli (2G/2A) are not in the lineup. For Como, Martin Baturina (4G/3A) and Maxence Caqueret (2G/4A) are not in the lineup
Goalkeepers
Elia Caprile is Cagliari's goalkeeper, recording 6 clean sheets this season. Jean Butez is Como's goalkeeper, who has kept 13 clean sheets this season
Influences
The Sardegna Arena is known for typically low-scoring matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game. In the last 5 games at this venue, both teams did not score, and only one game had over 2.5 goals. Cagliari averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded in home games. Como scores 1.67 goals and concedes 0.83 goals per away game