Serie A
Como - Roma
03/15/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
3.4
1.3
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
7%3:1
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Como
Roma
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
24%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Pipeline forecast: The model rates Como as favorites with a 54% win probability
- Home strength: Como is undefeated in their last 5 home league games, showing a strong offense (1.6 goals/game)
- Form trend: Como with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last five matches, while Roma only recorded one win
Risk Factors
- Roma only had 3 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Como (3.2 shots on target) and Roma (3.0 shots on target) show an average of few shots on target per game
Overview
Como (6th place, 51 points) host Roma (5th place, 51 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. The Serie A match takes place on March 15, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams are level on points and are fighting for European spots.
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Como shows excellent form with "DWWDW" from their last five matches
This includes 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses in this period
Roma has a form of "DWDLD"
This means 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
Statistics
Como scores an average of 1.6 goals per home game and concedes 0.67 goals
Roma scores an average of 1.33 goals per away game and concedes 1 goal
The Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia recorded an average of 2.6 goals per match in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, Como recorded 1 win and Roma had 2 wins
The goal difference is even at 3:3
Roma won the last encounter away on December 15, 2025, with a score of 1-0
Key Players
For Como, Nico Paz (9 goals, 6 assists) and Anastasios Douvikas (9 goals, 1 assist) are key offensive players
Martin Baturina contributes 5 goals and 3 assists and shows a rising form trend
For Roma, Donyell Malen is the top scorer with 6 goals
Wesley is an important defensive player with 4 goals
Lorenzo Pellegrini has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists, showing stable form
Goalkeepers
Jean Butez of Como played in 28 matches and achieved 13 clean sheets with an average rating of 7.11
Mile Svilar of Roma also played in 28 matches and recorded 12 clean sheets with an average rating of 7.02
Influences
Como shows a strong home performance on the grass pitch at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding only 0.67 goals per game
The stadium has an average of 2.6 goals per game
In 40% of the last 5 games, both teams scored, and in 60% there were over 2.5 goals