Serie A
Torino - Parma
03/13/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Torino
Parma
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
28%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Pipeline analysis: The mathematical probability for a Torino home win is 48%
- Form difference: Parma is unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws), while Torino only managed 1 win
- Defensive weakness: Torino concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game this season
Risk Factors
- Parma is missing Adriån Bernabé (3G/1A) and Sascha Britschgi (0G/2A), accounting for 20% of their usual goal threat
- Parma scores an average of only 0.69 goals per away game
- Parma has an average of only 3.2 shots on target per game
Overview
Torino (15th place, 30 points) host Parma (12th place, 34 points) at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The Serie A match takes place on March 13, 2026, 8:45 PM. Torino is fighting against relegation, while Parma aims to maintain its mid-table position.
Form
Torino's form in the last five games is DLLWL
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The team achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The last result was a loss
Parma's form in the last five games is WWWDD
The team recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses
The last result was a draw, and the team has achieved two consecutive draws
Statistics
Torino has scored an average of 1.00 goals per game this season and conceded 1.75 goals per game
Parma has a goal average of 0.71 per game and concedes 1.14 goals per game
Torino kept 10 clean sheets, and Parma also kept 10 clean sheets
At home, Torino scored 15 goals and conceded 22 goals
Parma scored 9 goals away and conceded 13 goals
Statistics from the last 5 games at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino show an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the 5 head-to-head matches, Torino secured 2 wins, Parma 1 win, and there were 2 draws
Torino scored 7 goals, while Parma scored 4 goals
The last encounter on September 29, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Parma
The home team has recently dominated the direct encounters
Key Players
For Torino, Nikola VlaĆĄiÄ (Midfielder) is a key figure with 6 goals and 3 assists and a season average rating of 6.95
Giovanni Simeone (Attacker) contributed 6 goals, his season average rating is 6.82, his form is declining
Ché Adams (Attacker) scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists, with a season average rating of 6.86, his form is stable
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino (Attacker) stands out with 7 goals and 1 assist and a season average rating of 6.83
Christian Ordóñez (Midfielder) scored 1 goal and has a rising form
Alessandro Circati (Defender) scored 1 goal and has a season average rating of 6.94
Goalkeepers
Torino's goalkeeper Alberto Paleari kept 10 clean sheets this season
Parma's goalkeeper Zion Suzuki also achieved 10 clean sheets
Influences
Torino has scored an average of 1.00 goals per home game and conceded 1.47 goals per home game
Parma scored an average of 0.69 goals per away game and conceded 1.00 goals per away game
The Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches
The playing surface is grass