Serie A
Cremonese - Fiorentina
03/16/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.6
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
5%What influences the xG?
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
22%
Draw
28%
Away Win
50%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
50%
Away or Draw
78%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Fiorentina is favored with a 50% win probability
- Head-to-head: Fiorentina dominated the last 5 direct encounters with 4 wins and 1 draw
- Current form: Cremonese shows poor form with 0 wins and 4 losses in the last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Cremonese: Only 56% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available without Jamie Vardy (5G/1A) and Federico Baschirotto (2G/0A)
- Fiorentina: Only 4 days rest since the last match
- Fiorentina concedes an average of 2.09 goals per away game
Overview
Cremonese (18th place, 24 points) host Fiorentina (17th place, 25 points) at Stadio Giovanni Zini
Serie A match on March 16, 2026, 8:45 PM
Both teams are battling in the lower part of the table for crucial points in the relegation fight
Form
Cremonese shows poor form in the last five games with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses (Form: LDLLL)
The last match ended in a loss
Fiorentina recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games (Form: WLLDW)
Fiorentina won their last match
Statistics
Cremonese scored an average of 0.79 goals per game this season and conceded 1.43 goals
At home, Cremonese averages 0.79 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded
Fiorentina averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Fiorentina averages 1.09 goals scored and 2.09 goals conceded
Cremonese had both teams scoring in 12 matches, Fiorentina in 18 matches
The Stadio Giovanni Zini recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in 5 matches
In 1 of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 1 of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters, Cremonese has 0 wins, Fiorentina has 4 wins, and there was 1 draw
Cremonese scored 2 goals, while Fiorentina scored 8 goals
The last encounter on January 4, 2026, ended with a 1-0 victory for Fiorentina
Key Players
Cremonese: Federico Bonazzoli (6 goals, 2 assists) and Morten Thorsby (1 goal, 0 assists)
Sebastiano Luperto contributed 1 assist
Fiorentina: Rolando Mandragora (6 goals, 1 assist) and Albert Gudmundsson (4 goals, 3 assists)
Nicolò Fagioli with 1 goal and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Cremonese goalkeeper Emil Audero has an average rating of 7.1 this season and 7 clean sheets
Including 4 home clean sheets
Fiorentina goalkeeper David de Gea has an average rating of 6.7 and 5 clean sheets
Including 2 away clean sheets
Influences
Cremonese scores an average of 0.79 goals at home and concedes 1.21 goals
The Stadio Giovanni Zini has recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In the last 5 matches at Stadio Giovanni Zini, both teams scored in only 1 game and more than 2.5 goals were scored in only 1 game