Serie A
Hellas Verona - Genoa
03/15/2026, 11:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
31%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Table Situation: Hellas Verona in 19th place is fighting relegation, while Genoa is in 14th place
- Offensive Weakness: Hellas Verona averages only 0.79 goals per game this season
- Genoa's Form and Attack: Genoa is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5)
Risk Factors
- Low Shot Efficiency: Hellas Verona averages only 1.8 shots on target per game
- Close Prediction: The pipeline analysis shows very balanced winning odds for both teams and a draw (Home win 37%, Draw 31%, Away win 32%)
- Away Defensive Weakness: Genoa concedes an average of 1.75 goals per away game
Overview
Hellas Verona (19th place, 18 points) host Genoa (14th place, 30 points) at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Serie A match on March 15, 2026, 11:30 AM
Hellas Verona is battling against relegation, while Genoa is in the mid-table
Form
Hellas Verona's form (DLLLW) shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches
Their last game was an away 2-1 win against Bologna
Prior to that, they suffered a 1-2 home loss to Napoli, a 0-3 away loss to Sassuolo, a 1-2 away loss to Parma, and a 0-0 home draw against Pisa
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Genoa's form (LDWLW) records 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five fixtures
They recently secured a 2-1 home win against Roma
This followed a 0-2 away loss to Inter, a 3-0 home win against Torino, a 0-0 away draw against Cremonese, and a 2-3 home loss to Napoli
Statistics
Hellas Verona averages 0.79 goals scored per game and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season
The team achieved 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 15 matches
In home games, Hellas Verona scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 1.4 goals
Genoa averages 1.21 goals scored per game and concedes 1.43 goals per game
The team achieved 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 17 matches
In away games, Genoa scores an average of 1.25 goals and concedes 1.75 goals
The last 5 games at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi saw an average of 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Hellas Verona secured 1 win, Genoa had 3 wins, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 4:5 in favor of Genoa
The last encounter on November 29, 2025, resulted in a 2-1 victory for Genoa
Genoa has been more dominant in recent direct encounters
Key Players
For Hellas Verona, Gift Orban is a key player this season with 7 goals and 2 assists
Roberto Gagliardini scored 1 season goal and shows a rising form trend
Victor Nelsson also displays a rising form trend
For Genoa, Ruslan Malinovskyi (5 goals, 3 assists), Lorenzo Colombo (6 goals, 1 assist), and Vitinha (4 goals, 1 assist) are the top attacking players
All three show a rising form trend
Goalkeepers
Hellas Verona's goalkeeper, Lorenzo Montipò, has made 25 appearances this season and kept 5 clean sheets
For Genoa, Justin Bijlow has been in goal for 7 appearances and achieved 6 clean sheets
Influences
Hellas Verona scores an average of 0.8 home goals and concedes 1.4 home goals, highlighting a home advantage
Genoa scores an average of 1.25 away goals and concedes 1.75 away goals
The Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi sees an average of 2.6 goals per game
In 3 out of 5 matches at this stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored