Serie A
Udinese - Juventus
03/14/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.4
1.9
1:1
11%1:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Udinese
Juventus
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
25%
Away Win
47%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
53%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Key Factors
- Offensive Power: Juventus currently scores more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.9) and averages 1.75 goals away from home
- Head-to-Head Record: Juventus dominated the last five encounters with four wins and a goal difference of 9:2
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Juventus as the winner with a 47% probability
Risk Factors
- Udinese has a limited offensive threat, averaging 3.0 shots on target per game
- Juventus concedes an average of 1.33 goals per away game, which is above their season average of 1.0
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 67% probability that both teams will score
Overview
Udinese (11th place, 36 points) host Juventus (6th place, 50 points) at the Dacia Arena in a Serie A fixture. The match takes place on March 14, 2026, 8:45 PM. Juventus is fighting for a European spot, while Udinese is in the mid-table.
Form
Udinese's form in their last five matches across all competitions is LLLWD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their last game was a 2-2 away draw against Atalanta, preceded by a 3-0 home win against Fiorentina. Juventus shows a form of LLWDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The Old Lady secured a 4-0 home win against Pisa in their last match, following a 3-3 away draw against Roma. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Udinese scores an average of 1.18 goals per game and concedes 1.46 goals. At home, these figures slightly improve to 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded. Juventus is stronger offensively with an average of 1.79 goals per game and concedes only 1.0 goals. Away from home, Juventus scores 1.75 goals and concedes 1.33 goals. Udinese had 6 clean sheets, Juventus 10. At the Dacia Arena venue, the last 5 matches saw an average of 2.4 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Juventus dominated with four wins, while Udinese managed only one victory. Juventus scored nine goals to Udinese's two in these matches. The last meeting on December 2, 2025, ended with a 2-0 away win for Juventus. This statistic highlights Juventus's recent dominance in this fixture.
Key Players
For Udinese, Keinan Davis is the most potent attacker with 9 goals and 3 assists. NicolĆ² Zaniolo contributed 5 goals and 4 assists, while Arthur Atta scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists. Oumar Solet, who has 3 goals and 1 assist this season, is not in the lineup. For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız shines with 9 goals and 5 assists. Jonathan David has 5 goals and 4 assists, and Weston McKennie has contributed 4 goals and 4 assists.
Goalkeepers
Udinese is expected to start Maduka Okoye in goal, who kept 6 clean sheets in 20 season appearances. For Juventus, Mattia Perin is between the posts. Juventus recorded a total of 10 clean sheets this season, with 4 of them coming in away games.
Influences
The Dacia Arena has shown an average of 2.4 total goals per game in the last five matches. Udinese's home advantage is characterized by 1.14 goals scored at home and 1.29 goals conceded at home. Juventus scores an average of 1.75 goals away and concedes 1.33 goals.