Serie A
Como - Pisa
03/22/2026, 11:30 AM
Expected Goals
2.6
3.4
0.8
2:0
12%3:0
10%2:1
9%3:1
8%1:1
8%What influences the xG?
Como
Pisa
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
76%
Draw
16%
Away Win
8%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
92%
Away or Draw
24%
No Draw
84%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Como with a 76% probability and 2.62 expected goals
- Form Disparity: Como is unbeaten in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while Pisa has lost four of their last five matches
- Seasonal Superiority: Como (4th place) shows a strong season performance with a goal difference of +26, contrasting with Pisa (19th place) with a goal difference of -26
Risk Factors
- Blunt Attack: Pisa's offense appears ineffective with an average of only 2.8 shots on target
- Como Squad Depth: Four key players (Maxence Caqueret, Ălex Valle, MĂ«rgim Vojvoda, Jacobo RamĂłn) are not in Como's lineup, although the active starting XI's goal share remains 100%
Overview
Como (4th place, 54 points) host Pisa (19th place, 18 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A match on March 22, 2026, 12:30 PM
Como is fighting at the top of the table, while Pisa is battling against relegation
Form
Como is in excellent form with WWDWW in their last five matches
The team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw
Their last match was a win, continuing their current streak of 2 victories
Pisa, on the other hand, had a difficult run of LLLLW
This means 1 win and 4 losses in their last five games
However, Pisa managed to win their most recent match
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Como displays strong offensive performance with an average of 1.66 goals per game over the season
At home, Como scores an average of 1.62 goals and concedes only 0.69 goals per home game
Como's defense is also solid, conceding an average of 0.76 goals per match
Como kept 13 clean sheets this season, with 7 of them at home
Pisa, however, averages only 0.79 goals per game and 0.8 away goals per match
Pisa's defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.69 goals per game, and 1.55 away goals
In 5 games, Pisa kept 5 clean sheets, with only 1 of those away from home
Home games at this stadium averaged 2.0 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
Como is currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (2.0)
Pisa scores consistently (~0.8 goals per game)
Head-to-Head
In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, Como secured 2 wins and 3 draws
Pisa has not managed to win any of the direct encounters
Como scored a total of 11 goals and conceded 6 goals
The last encounter on January 6, 2026, ended in a 3-0 victory for Como
Como has been the more dominant side in recent head-to-head matches
Key Players
For Como, Anastasios Douvikas with 10 goals and 1 assist, Nico Paz with 9 goals and 6 assists and an average rating of 7.47, and JesĂșs RodrĂguez with 1 goal and 7 assists are important players in the starting eleven
For Pisa, Stefano Moreo with 6 goals and 1 assist, Matteo Tramoni with 2 goals and 2 assists, and Felipe Loyola, who scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows a rising form, are noteworthy
Goalkeepers
Como's goalkeeper, Jean Butez, has made 29 appearances and kept 13 clean sheets
Pisa is expected to start with NicolĂĄs in goal, who kept 5 clean sheets in 5 appearances
Influences
Como benefits from a clear home advantage, as the team scores an average of 1.62 goals at home and concedes only 0.69 goals
The last matches at this stadium averaged 2.0 goals per game
In 3 of 5 home games, both teams scored, and in 3 of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored