Serie A
Genoa - Udinese
03/20/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.7
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Genoa
Udinese
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
28%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: A home win for Genoa is calculated at 46%, with expected goals of 1.58 compared to Udinese's 1.16
- Genoa shows better current form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last five games
- Historical record: Genoa dominated head-to-head matches with 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 games
Risk Factors
- Udinese is counter-attacking oriented with an average of 3.2 shots on target
Overview
Genoa (13th place, 33 points) hosts Udinese (11th place, 36 points) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The Serie A match takes place on March 20, 2026, 7:45 PM. Genoa aims to close the gap in the table.
Form
Genoa's form across all competitions in the last five games is DWLWW, which corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last appearance ended in a win. Udinese's form in the last five games is LLWDL, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last result was a loss.
Statistics
Genoa scores an average of 1.24 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals. At home, they average 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded. Udinese scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.45 goals. Away from home, Udinese scores 1.13 goals and concedes 1.53 goals. At the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, an average of 3.8 goals were scored in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in all 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa has been dominant with 4 wins and 1 draw. Udinese has not been able to win any of these matches. The goal difference is 9:3 in favor of Genoa. Genoa won the last encounter on December 8, 2025, with a score of 2:1.
Key Players
For Genoa, Ruslan Malinovskyi (5 goals, 3 assists) and Lorenzo Colombo (6 goals, 1 assist) are key offensive players. Leo ĂstigĂ„rd has contributed 5 goals and 1 assist. Not nominated: Caleb Ekuban (3G/1A). For Udinese, Keinan Davis (9 goals, 3 assists) and NicolĂČ Zaniolo (5 goals, 4 assists) are notable in attack. Arthur Atta has scored 2 goals and 3 assists.
Goalkeepers
Genoa's goalkeeper Justin Bijlow has kept 7 clean sheets in 8 appearances this season. Udinese's goalkeeper Maduka Okoye has achieved 6 clean sheets in 21 appearances.
Influences
Genoa scores an average of 1.27 goals at home and concedes 1.27 goals. At the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, an average of 3.8 goals per game are scored. Both teams score in 60% of cases, and over 2.5 goals occur in 100% of cases.