Serie A
Juventus - Sassuolo
03/21/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.0
1.0
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
6%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
Juventus
Sassuolo
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
57%
Draw
25%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
43%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a home win for Juventus with 57%
- Juventus shows rising form with 2 consecutive wins, while Sassuolo recently recorded 2 consecutive losses
- Sassuolo is missing key attacking players Armand Laurienté (5G/7A) and Kristian Thorstvedt (3G/3A), reducing their goal threat by 24%
Overview
Juventus (5th place, 53 points) host Sassuolo (11th place, 38 points) at Juventus Stadium
Serie A match on March 21, 2026, 8:45 PM
Juventus is fighting for international qualification spots
Form
Juventus' form across all competitions is LWDWW
The home team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Juventus currently has 2 consecutive wins
Sassuolo's form across all competitions is WWWLL
The away team registered 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Sassuolo has suffered 2 consecutive losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Juventus scores an average of 1.76 goals per game and concedes 0.97 goals
At home, they score 1.81 goals and concede 0.75 goals per home game
Juventus kept 11 clean sheets and scored in 14 matches, while failing to score in 6 matches
Sassuolo averages 1.21 goals per game and concedes 1.34 goals
Away from home, they score 1.20 goals and concede 1.20 goals per away game
Sassuolo kept 6 clean sheets and scored in 14 matches, while failing to score in 10 matches
Juventus Stadium has seen an average of 3.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 4 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between Juventus and Sassuolo
Juventus won 3 games, Sassuolo won 2, and there were 0 draws
Juventus scored a total of 11 goals, Sassuolo 5 goals
The last encounter on January 6, 2026, ended 0:3 for Juventus
Juventus has been more dominant in recent head-to-head matches
Key Players
For Juventus, the following players are noteworthy
Kenan Yıldız scored 9 goals and 6 assists in 28 appearances with an average rating of 7.56, his form is declining
Weston McKennie scored 4 goals and 4 assists in 28 appearances with an average rating of 6.99, his form is declining
Pierre Kalulu scored 2 goals and 3 assists in 28 appearances with an average rating of 7.00, his form is rising
For Sassuolo, the following players are noteworthy
Domenico Berardi scored 7 goals and 3 assists in 19 appearances with an average rating of 7.23, his form is declining
Andrea Pinamonti scored 6 goals and 3 assists in 27 appearances with an average rating of 6.75, his form is declining
Ismaël Koné scored 5 goals in 26 appearances with an average rating of 6.83, his form is declining
Goalkeepers
Juventus goalkeeper Mattia Perin has played in 6 season appearances
The Juventus defense has achieved a total of 11 clean sheets this season
Sassuolo goalkeeper Arijanet Murić has played in 28 season appearances
The Sassuolo defense has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets this season
Influences
Juventus shows strong offensive performance at home with an average of 1.81 goals scored and a stable defense with 0.75 goals conceded
At Juventus Stadium, an average of 3.6 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 4 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals