Serie A
Pisa - Torino
04/05/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Pisa
Torino
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
30%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Torino with 39%
- Pisa's form is negative with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 games
- Torino is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.3 goals per game)
Risk Factors
- Pisa scores only an average of 0.78 goals per home game
- Torino concedes an average of 2.31 goals per away game
- Pisa recorded an average of only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Pisa (19th place, 18 points) host Torino (14th place, 33 points) at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
This Serie A match takes place on April 5, 2026, 6:00 PM
Pisa is fighting relegation, while Torino is in the mid-table
Form
Pisa's form in all competitions is LLLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 1 win and 4 losses in their last five games
The most recent result was a 0-5 away loss against Como
Torino's form in all competitions is LWLWL
They achieved 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches
The last encounter ended in a 2-3 away loss against AC Milan
Statistics
Pisa averages 0.77 goals scored per game and concedes 1.8 goals per game this season
At home, they average 0.78 goals scored and concede 2.0 goals
They kept 5 clean sheets, 4 of them at home
Torino averages 1.13 goals scored per game and concedes 1.77 goals per game this season
Away, they average 1.15 goals scored and concede 2.31 goals
They kept 10 clean sheets, 5 of them away
The Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani recorded an average of 2.8 total goals in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the 2 head-to-head matches between Pisa and Torino, there was 1 draw and 1 win for Torino
Pisa scored a total of 2 goals, while Torino recorded 3 goals
The last encounter on November 2, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw
Torino has been the dominant team in recent head-to-head matches
Key Players
For Pisa, Stefano Moreo (Attacker, 6 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), Antonio Caracciolo (Defender, 2 goals, 0 assists this season, 2 goals in last 5 games), and Michel Aebischer (Midfielder, 1 goal, 1 assist this season) are noteworthy
Not nominated for Pisa is Rafiu Durosinmi (1G/1A)
For Torino, Giovanni Simeone (Attacker, 8 goals, 0 assists this season, 3 goals in last 5 games), Nikola Vlašić (Midfielder, 7 goals, 3 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), and Rafa Obrador (Defender, 0 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 assist in last 5 games) are important players
Not nominated for Torino are Duván Zapata (3G/1A) and Valentino Lazaro (0G/2A)
Goalkeepers
Adrian Semper is Pisa's goalkeeper, with an average rating of 7.02 in 17 season appearances
Pisa has a total of 5 clean sheets this season, 4 of them in home games
Torino's goalkeeper is Alberto Paleari, with an average rating of 6.83 in 21 season appearances
Torino achieved a total of 10 clean sheets, 5 of them in away games
Influences
Pisa's home games are defensively more vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.0 goals compared to their overall season average of 1.8 goals
Torino concedes an average of 2.31 goals per away game, which is significantly more than their season average of 1.77 goals
The grass pitch at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani has historically seen an average of 2.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of matches