Serie A
Sassuolo - Cagliari
04/04/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
32%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Sassuolo with a 40% probability and 1.26 expected goals
- Sassuolo's positive form trend (WWLLD, recent avg 1.4 goals) contrasts with Cagliari's negative trend (DDLLL, recent avg 0.8 goals)
- Sassuolo has won 2 of the 3 direct duels, including the last encounter
Risk Factors
- Sassuolo averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Cagliari averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- The model calculates the probability for over 2.5 goals at only 40%
Overview
Sassuolo (10th place, 39 points) host Cagliari (15th place, 30 points) at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. It's a Serie A match on April 4th, 2026, 02:00 PM. Sassuolo aims to solidify its position in the midfield, while Cagliari battles against relegation.
Form
Sassuolo's form across all competitions is WWLLD
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last match ended in a draw
Cagliari's form across all competitions is DDLLL
This means 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
The last match ended in a loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sassuolo has scored an average of 1.20 goals per game this season and conceded 1.33 goals
Cagliari has scored an average of 1.03 goals per game and conceded 1.40 goals
Sassuolo kept 6 clean sheets, Cagliari also kept 6 clean sheets
At the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, an average of 2.60 goals per game have been scored
Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches at this stadium, and 3 of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the 3 head-to-head matches between these teams, Sassuolo has 2 wins and Cagliari has 1 win
There have been no draws between the two sides
Sassuolo scored a total of 5 goals, while Cagliari scored 3 goals
The last encounter was won by Sassuolo with a 2:1 score on October 30th, 2025
Recent direct duels have been dominated by Sassuolo
Key Players
For Sassuolo, the key players are Domenico Berardi (7 goals, 4 assists), Armand Laurienté (5 goals, 7 assists), and Andrea Pinamonti (7 goals, 3 assists)
Domenico Berardi shows stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 7.41
Armand Laurienté has rising form with 1 goal and 4 assists in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 7.29
Andrea Pinamonti shows declining form with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.55
For Cagliari, Sebastiano Esposito (4 goals, 5 assists), Michael Folorunsho (2 goals, 0 assists), and Gianluca Gaetano (2 goals, 3 assists) are important
Sebastiano Esposito shows stable form with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 7.16
Michael Folorunsho has stable form with 2 goals in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.67
Gianluca Gaetano shows stable form with 0 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 7.00
Goalkeepers
Sassuolo's goalkeeper, Arijanet Murić, had an average rating of 7.20 in 29 appearances
Sassuolo's team has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets
Cagliari's goalkeeper, Elia Caprile, had an average rating of 6.95 in 30 appearances
Cagliari's team has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets
Influences
Sassuolo scored an average of 1.21 home goals and conceded 1.50 home goals
Cagliari scored an average of 1.00 away goals and conceded 1.60 away goals
The MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore is known for an average of 2.6 goals per game