Serie A
Juventus - Genoa
04/06/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.2
0.9
2:0
11%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%What influences the xG?
Juventus
Genoa
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
68%
Draw
20%
Away Win
12%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
88%
Away or Draw
32%
No Draw
80%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Juventus with 68% probability and 2.34 expected goals
- Juventus shows positive form development, currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.9)
- The historical record clearly favors Juventus, who are unbeaten in the last 5 direct duels with 3 wins
Risk Factors
- For Genoa, Caleb Ekuban (3G/1A) is not in the starting lineup
Overview
Juventus (5th place, 54 points) host Genoa (14th place, 33 points) at the Juventus Stadium. Serie A match on April 6, 2026, 6:00 PM. Juventus aims to stay connected to the top group and secure Champions League qualification.
Form
Juventus shows strong form in their last five matches with WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Their last game ended in a draw. Genoa's form in their last five matches is WLWWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their last game ended in a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Juventus averages 1.73 goals scored per game and concedes 0.97 goals. At home, the average is 1.76 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded. Genoa averages 1.20 goals scored and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Away, the average is 1.21 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded. Juventus recorded 11 clean sheets and Genoa 7 clean sheets this season.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head matches, Juventus dominated with 3 wins and 2 draws, while Genoa recorded no victories. Juventus scored a total of 6 goals in these encounters, Genoa only 1 goal. The last meeting was won by Juventus on August 31, 2025, with a score of 1:0.
Key Players
For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız is an important attacking player with 10 goals and 6 assists this season, his form is rising with a rating of 7.83 in the last 5 games. Jonathan David contributed 5 goals and 4 assists, also with rising form. Manuel Locatelli, with 1 goal and 2 assists, has a season average rating of 7.40 and shows rising form in the last five games (7.86). Genoa relies on Lorenzo Colombo, who scored 6 goals and 1 assist this season. Ruslan Malinovskyi contributed 5 goals and 3 assists. Vitinha scored 5 goals and 1 assist, contributing 2 goals in his last 4 games.
Goalkeepers
In goal for Juventus is Mattia Perin, who has an average rating of 6.62 in 7 season appearances. Juventus has kept 11 clean sheets this season. For Genoa, Justin Bijlow is the goalkeeper, with an average rating of 6.83 in 9 season appearances. Genoa achieved 7 clean sheets this season.
Influences
The Juventus Stadium saw an average of 2.6 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches. Juventus showed good performance at home with an average of 1.76 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded.