Serie A
Genoa - Sassuolo
04/12/2026, 10:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%1:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%What influences the xG?
Genoa
Sassuolo
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
30%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: A home win for Genoa is calculated with a 44% probability
- Historical Dominance: Genoa has won all 3 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo
- Goal Production: Genoa's goal production has been declining with an average of 0.8 goals recently, while Sassuolo scores consistently
Risk Factors
- Genoa averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Sassuolo averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Genoa (14th place, 33 points) will host Sassuolo (11th place, 42 points) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The Serie A match is scheduled for April 12, 2026, 12:30 PM. Genoa needs points to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Form
Genoa's form in their last five matches is LWWLL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Sassuolo's form over the same period is WLLDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Genoa has suffered two consecutive losses recently. Sassuolo managed to win their last game. Genoa's goal production has slowed with an average of 0.8 goals recently, compared to their season average of 1.4 goals. Sassuolo consistently scores around 1.2 goals per game.
Statistics
Genoa averages 1.16 goals scored per game and concedes 1.42 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded. Sassuolo averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded. Away from home, Sassuolo is nearly balanced with 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded per game. Genoa has achieved 7 clean sheets this season, Sassuolo 6. Both teams scored in 17 Genoa matches and 16 Sassuolo matches. The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris has seen an average of 4.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In the three direct encounters between these two teams, Genoa has won all matches. Genoa scored 6 goals in these games, while Sassuolo scored 3. The last match ended in a 2-1 victory for Genoa on November 3, 2025.
Key Players
For Genoa, key offensive players include Lorenzo Colombo (6 goals, 1 assist), Vitinha (5 goals, 1 assist, with 2 goals in the last 5 games), and Leo ĂstigĂ„rd (5 goals, 1 assist, with 1 goal in the last 5 games). For Sassuolo, Andrea Pinamonti (8 goals, 3 assists, with 3 goals in the last 5 games), Domenico Berardi (7 goals, 4 assists), and Armand LaurientĂ© (5 goals, 7 assists, with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games) are notable.
Goalkeepers
Justin Bijlow is in goal for Genoa, having made 10 appearances this season. His counterpart for Sassuolo is Arijanet MuriÄ, with 30 season appearances. Genoa has achieved 7 clean sheets this season, while Sassuolo has 6.
Influences
Genoa's home form shows an average of 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded. Sassuolo scores 1.27 goals away and concedes 1.27 goals. The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris has seen an average of 4.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games.