Serie A
Como - Inter
04/12/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Como
Inter
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
32%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Como's strong home form (DWWWD) and defensive strength at home (Avg. 0.61 goals conceded per game).
- Inter's historical dominance in head-to-head matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 8:0 goal difference).
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 71% chance for a home win or a draw.
Risk Factors
- Limited data available for weather conditions
Overview
Como (5th place, 58 points) host Inter (1st place, 72 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Serie A match on April 12, 2026, 7:45 PM. Como is fighting for a European spot, while Inter defends their league lead.
Form
Como's form across all competitions is DWWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). They are unbeaten in their last 1 match (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Inter's recent form is DLDDW. Inter is unbeaten in their last 1 match (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss).
Statistics
Como averages 1.71 goals scored per game and concedes 0.71 goals. At home, they score 1.72 goals and concede 0.61 goals. Inter averages 2.29 goals per match and concedes 0.84 goals. Away, they score 2.25 goals and concede 0.92 goals. At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, the last 5 matches averaged 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Inter secured 3 wins and there was 1 draw. Como has not won any matches so far. The goal difference is 0:8 in favor of Inter. The last encounter on March 3, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw.
Key Players
Nico Paz (Midfielder) has 10 goals and 6 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 7.50. Anastasios Douvikas (Attacker) has 11 goals and 1 assist this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 6.84. Martin Baturina (Midfielder) contributed 6 goals and 3 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 7.02. Marcus Thuram (Attacker) recorded 8 goals and 5 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists with an average rating of 7.36. Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Midfielder) scored 9 goals and 3 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist with an average rating of 7.48. Nicolò Barella (Midfielder) contributed 2 goals and 7 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists with an average rating of 7.40.
Goalkeepers
Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez achieved 15 clean sheets this season. Inter's goalkeeper Yann Sommer also recorded 15 clean sheets.
Influences
Como has scored an average of 1.72 goals and conceded 0.61 goals at home, indicating a home advantage. At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, the average is 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80% of games. The match will be played on grass.