Serie A
Torino - Hellas Verona
04/11/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
Torino
Hellas Verona
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
30%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40% for Torino
- Torino's form is positive with 3 wins from the last 5 games and a currently higher goal rate (2.0) than the season average (1.3)
- Hellas Verona shows negative form with 4 losses from 5 games, low goal production (0.6), and an average of 2.07 goals conceded per away game
- Torino dominated head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 encounters
Risk Factors
- The low average of 2.6 goals per game and the low Over 2.5 rate (40%) at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino suggest a potentially low-scoring match
- Limited data for duel statistics in the last 5 games
- Hellas Verona has recently averaged only 3.8 shots on target
Overview
Torino (12th place, 36 points) host Hellas Verona (19th place, 18 points) at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Serie A match on April 11, 2026, 3:00 PM
Torino aims to consolidate its mid-table position, while Hellas Verona battles against relegation
Form
Torino's form in the last five games is WLWLW
The team recorded 3 wins and 2 losses
The last encounter ended in a win for Torino
Hellas Verona shows a form of LWLLL in their last five matches
They achieved 1 win and 4 losses
The team recently suffered 3 consecutive losses
Statistics
Torino averaged 1.13 goals scored per game and conceded 1.71 goals per game this season
In home games, the average is 1.12 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
Hellas Verona averaged 0.71 goals scored per game and conceded 1.71 goals per game
Away from home, their goal average is 0.71 scored and 2.07 conceded
The Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino averages 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the 5 head-to-head matches between Torino and Hellas Verona, Torino dominated
Torino won 3 games, while Hellas Verona won none, and there were 2 draws
Torino scored a total of 9 goals compared to 4 by Hellas Verona
The last meeting on January 4, 2026, ended in a 3-0 victory for Torino
Key Players
Giovanni Simeone is an important offensive player for Torino with 8 season goals
He shows a rising form with 3 goals in the last 5 games
Nikola Vlašić scored 7 season goals and 3 assists
His form is rising with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Ché Adams contributed 5 season goals and 2 assists
Martin Frese is notable for Hellas Verona with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro showed 1 goal in the last 5 games
Kieron Bowie also scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
Duván Zapata (3T/1A) is not in the lineup for Torino
Gift Orban (7T/2A) is not in the lineup for Hellas Verona
Goalkeepers
Torino goalkeeper Alberto Paleari kept 11 clean sheets this season
Lorenzo Montipò of Hellas Verona recorded 5 clean sheets
Influences
Torino averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded in home games
Hellas Verona concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away game
The Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino records an average of 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the last 5 games at the stadium