Serie A
Cremonese - Torino
04/19/2026, 10:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Cremonese
Torino
The Lab
- 1Cremonese with Jari Vandeputte: 1.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Cremonese: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 3Torino with Ché Adams: 3.3 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Cremonese: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5Cremonese: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
29%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Mathematical analysis shows an away win for Torino with a 42% probability
- Form advantage: Torino is in better shape with 3 wins in their last 5 games, compared to Cremonese's 1 win
- Tactical difference: Torino averaged 4.2 shots on target compared to Cremonese's 3.4 shots in their last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Torino concedes an average of 2.14 goals per away game
- Cremonese averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Cremonese (17th place, 27 points) host Torino (12th place, 39 points) at the Stadio Giovanni Zini. The Serie A match takes place on April 19, 2026, 12:30 PM. Cremonese are fighting for survival, while Torino aim to consolidate their mid-table position.
Form
Cremonese's form in their last five matches is LLWLL, with one win and four losses. Their last game resulted in a defeat. Torino's form is LWLWW, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, winning their last two games. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Cremonese averages 0.81 goals scored per game and concedes 1.47 goals per game this season. At home, they score 0.81 goals and concede 1.44 goals per match. Torino averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.69 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they score 1.14 goals and concede 2.14 goals per match. The Stadio Giovanni Zini has seen an average of 2.4 total goals in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
There has been one head-to-head match between Cremonese and Torino so far. Torino won this single encounter, keeping a clean sheet. The last game on December 13, 2025, ended with a 0-1 away victory for Torino.
Key Players
For Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli (7 goals, 2 assists this season, 2 goals in last 5 games) and Jari Vandeputte (1 goal, 4 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games) are important attacking players. Defender Filippo Terracciano has 2 goals this season. Not nominated: Matteo Bianchetti (0G/2A). For Torino, Giovanni Simeone stands out with 9 season goals (3 in last 5 games). Nikola Vlašić contributed 7 goals and 3 assists. Cesare Casadei scored 2 goals in the last 5 games (5 total season goals).
Goalkeepers
Cremonese relies on Emil Audero, who has featured in 28 season games and achieved an average rating of 7.03. He has 8 clean sheets this season, 4 of which were in home games. For Torino, Alberto Paleari is the designated goalkeeper. He played 23 season games with an average rating of 6.86 and recorded 11 clean sheets, 6 of them in away games.
Influences
Cremonese's home strength is evident with an average of 0.81 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded in home matches. Torino concedes an average of 2.14 goals away from home. The Stadio Giovanni Zini has averaged 2.4 goals per game in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 40% of games, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals.