Serie A
Sassuolo - Como
04/17/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
0.7
2.2
1.4
0:1
15%1:1
14%0:0
13%0:2
12%1:2
9%What influences the xG?
Sassuolo
Como
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
18%
Draw
30%
Away Win
52%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
48%
Away or Draw
82%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Key Factors
- Como's mathematically calculated win probability of 52% is the highest in the match
- Como's dominant Head-to-Head record with 2 wins and 5:0 goals in 2 encounters
- Como's positive current form compared to Sassuolo's negative form
Risk Factors
- Sassuolo's negative form trend according to advanced statistics
- Sassuolo averaged only 3.2 shots on target in the last 5 games
Overview
Sassuolo (11th place, 42 points) host Como (5th place, 58 points) at the MAPEI Stadium - CittĂ del Tricolore
Serie A match on April 17, 2026, 6:30 PM
Como is fighting for European spots, while Sassuolo is in the mid-table of the league
The mathematical analysis sees Como as favorites with a 52% win probability
Form
Sassuolo's form in the last five games (all competitions) is LLDWL
This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The last match was a 1-2 away loss against Genoa
Como's form in the last five games (all competitions) is WWWDL
This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
The last match was a 3-4 home loss against Inter
According to advanced statistics, Sassuolo's current form is negative, while Como's form is positive
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sassuolo averages 1.22 goals scored per game and concedes 1.34 goals per game this season
Como shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.75 goals scored and a more solid defense with 0.81 goals conceded per game
In home games, Sassuolo averages 1.19 goals scored and concedes 1.38 goals
Como scores 1.69 goals per game away from home and concedes only 0.85 goals
Sassuolo achieved 6 clean sheets, while Como kept a clean sheet in 15 games
The stadium saw an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
2 out of 5 games at the stadium ended with both teams scoring, and 4 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
There have been 2 head-to-head matches between Sassuolo and Como
Como won both of these matches, Sassuolo none, and there were no draws
The goal difference in these duels is 5:0 in favor of Como
The last encounter on November 28, 2025, ended with a 0-2 away win for Como
Como was dominant in recent head-to-head matches
Key Players
For Sassuolo, the following players are notable:
Armand Laurienté (Attacker) scored 5 goals and 7 assists this season, his form is stable with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Ismaël Koné (Midfielder) has 6 goals this season, his form is stable with 1 goal in the last 4 games
Kristian Thorstvedt (Midfielder) contributed 3 goals and 3 assists this season and shows stable form
Not nominated for Sassuolo are: Domenico Berardi (7G/4A), Andrea Pinamonti (8G/3A), Ulisses Garcia (1G/1A)
For Como, the following players are notable:
Nico Paz (Midfielder) is an important player with 11 goals and 6 assists this season, his form is stable with 3 goals in the last 5 games
Lucas Da Cunha (Midfielder) recorded 4 goals and 4 assists this season, his form is rising with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Martin Baturina (Midfielder) scored 6 goals and 3 assists this season, his form is declining with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Not nominated for Como are: Anastasios Douvikas (11G/1A), MĂĄximo Perrone (3G/4A), Ălex Valle (1G/4A)
Goalkeepers
Sassuolo's goalkeeper Stefano Turati has 1 season appearance
The team achieved a total of 6 clean sheets
Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez has 32 season appearances
The team recorded 15 clean sheets
Influences
The MAPEI Stadium - CittĂ del Tricolore saw an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 2 out of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 4 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored
Sassuolo scores an average of 1.19 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals
Como shows strong away performance with 1.69 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded