Serie A
Hellas Verona - AC Milan
04/19/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.6
1.8
1.2
0:1
19%0:0
18%1:1
13%0:2
12%1:0
8%What influences the xG?
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
The Lab
- 1AC Milan with Samuele Ricci: 3.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Hellas Verona with Domagoj Bradarić: 1.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Hellas Verona: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
16%
Draw
34%
Away Win
50%
Goals
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
50%
Away or Draw
84%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
33%
No
67%
Key Factors
- AC Milan's clear dominance in head-to-head matches with 5 wins and a 9:1 goal difference in the last 5 encounters
- AC Milan's superior league position (3rd place) compared to Hellas Verona (19th place)
- Hellas Verona's ongoing negative streak of four consecutive losses
Risk Factors
- Hellas Verona's low home scoring average of 0.71 goals per game
- AC Milan's tactical metrics show an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Several AC Milan key players such as Luka Modrić and Adrien Rabiot are showing a declining form trend
Overview
Hellas Verona (19th place, 18 points) host AC Milan (3rd place, 63 points) at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Serie A match on April 19, 2026, 3:00 PM
Hellas Verona is deep in a relegation battle, while AC Milan is fighting for a Champions League spot
Form
Hellas Verona shows a form of WLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in all competitions
The team recorded 1 win and 4 losses in their last five games
They recently suffered four consecutive losses
The last defeat was a 1-2 away loss against Torino
AC Milan has a form of WLWLL in all competitions
They achieved 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches
The last encounter ended with a 0-3 home loss against Udinese, marking their second consecutive defeat
Statistics
Hellas Verona averages 0.72 goals scored and 1.72 goals conceded per game this season
In home games, these values are 0.71 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per game
AC Milan shows a strong season performance with an average of 1.47 goals scored and only 0.84 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Milan's defense is particularly stable with 1.47 goals scored and 0.65 goals conceded per match
At the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, the average is 2.0 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Milan has shown clear dominance
AC Milan won all 5 encounters, while Hellas Verona recorded no wins or draws
The goal difference of 9:1 clearly favors AC Milan
The last meeting on December 28, 2025, ended in a 3-0 victory for AC Milan
Key Players
For Hellas Verona, Roberto Gagliardini (Midfielder, 1 goal, 0 assists, avg rating 6.93) with declining form, Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro (Midfielder, 1 goal, 0 assists, avg rating 6.84) with stable form, and Gift Orban (Attacker, 7 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 6.79) with stable form are key players
For AC Milan, Luka Modrić (Midfielder, 2 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.35) with declining form, Adrien Rabiot (Midfielder, 5 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.28) with declining form, and Christian Pulisic (Attacker, 8 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.18) with declining form are the key players
Goalkeepers
Hellas Verona is expected to start with Lorenzo Montipò in goal, who achieved 5 clean sheets this season
For AC Milan, Mike Maignan will guard the goal, having recorded 13 clean sheets this season
Influences
Hellas Verona's home scoring record at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi averages 0.71 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded
AC Milan shows a strong away defense with only 0.65 goals conceded per game
The grass surface of the stadium influences the game
The last 5 games at this stadium averaged 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 instances