Serie A
Udinese - Torino
05/02/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.2
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
12%1:0
9%0:2
8%What influences the xG?
Udinese
Torino
The Lab
- 1Udinese: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 2Torino with Matteo Prati: 3.1 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Torino: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 4Udinese with Juan Arizala: 5.9 goals/90 min. Without: 2.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5Torino: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
32%
Away Win
40%
Goals
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
60%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Torino is the favorite according to mathematical analysis with a 40% win probability
- Torino has averaged 1.75 goals in their last 5 games and shows a positive form trend
- Torino holds a slight advantage in direct comparison with 2 wins against Udinese's 1 win in the last 5 encounters
Risk Factors
- Torino's defense is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per game
- Torino has averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games (on average)
Overview
Udinese (11th place, 44 points) hosts Torino (13th place, 41 points) at the Dacia Arena. This Serie A match will take place on May 2, 2026, at 3:00 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table, with Udinese holding a slight three-point advantage.
Form
Udinese shows a form of WDWLD in their last five games across all competitions. This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last game ended in a draw. Torino has a form of LWWDD in their last five matches, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The team has recorded two consecutive draws.
Statistics
Udinese scores an average of 1.15 goals per game this season and concedes 1.30 goals. At home, they score 1.14 goals and concede 1.43 goals per game. Torino also scores 1.15 goals per game, but concedes an average of 1.65 goals. Away from home, Torino's defense is more vulnerable, conceding 2.14 goals per game. Udinese has 9 clean sheets, while Torino has 12. At the Dacia Arena, an average of 1.6 goals were scored in the last 5 games, with both teams scoring only once and over 2.5 goals occurring twice.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Udinese scored a total of 5 goals and Torino scored 8 goals. Torino won 2 of these matches, while Udinese secured 1 victory and 2 games ended in a draw. The last match on January 7, 2026, was won by Torino with a score of 2:1. Torino has shown more dominance in recent direct encounters.
Key Players
For Udinese, Nicolò Zaniolo (5 goals, 6 assists), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (5 goals, 2 assists, rising form) and Arthur Atta (3 goals, 3 assists, rising form) are key players. Nicolò Zaniolo shows stable form. For Torino, Giovanni Simeone (10 goals, 0 assists, rising form), Nikola Vlašić (8 goals, 3 assists) and Cesare Casadei (5 goals, 0 assists) are crucial. Nikola Vlašić shows stable form, Giovanni Simeone rising form.
Goalkeepers
Maduka Okoye is Udinese's starting goalkeeper. He has recorded 9 clean sheets this season. For Torino, Alberto Paleari is in goal, achieving 12 clean sheets this campaign.
Influences
Udinese scored an average of 1.14 goals at home and conceded 1.43 goals. At Udinese's stadium, an average of 1.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games.