Serie A
Como - Napoli
05/02/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.2
0.9
1:1
15%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Como
Napoli
The Lab
- 1Como: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 2Napoli with Pasquale Mazzocchi : 9.6 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Napoli: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)
- 4Como with Jesús Rodríguez: 5.7 goals/90 min. Without: 1.6 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 5Napoli: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
31%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: Como is favored with a 44% home win probability and 1.32 expected goals, compared to Napoli's 0.92
- Como's Strong Home Defense: The team conceded an average of only 0.75 goals per home game this season
- Napoli's Superior League Position: Napoli sits in 2nd place, while Como is in 5th place
Risk Factors
- Como's Increased Recent Defensive Vulnerability: The team conceded an average of 2.25 goals in recent matches, compared to their season average of 0.82
- Napoli's Inconsistent Offensive Output: In the match against Lazio (0-2 loss), they registered zero shots on target
Overview
Como (5th place, 61 points) host Napoli (2nd place, 69 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A match on May 2, 2026, 6:00 PM
Como is fighting for a European spot, while Napoli aims to secure a top league position
Form
Como's form across all competitions is DLLLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Napoli shows stronger form with WWDLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Como's last match was a 2-0 away win against Genoa
Napoli won their last match 4-0 at home against Cremonese
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Como averages 1.74 goals scored per game and concedes 0.82 goals per game
Napoli averages 1.53 goals scored per game and concedes 0.97 goals per game
Como kept 16 clean sheets, Napoli 12 clean sheets
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia sees an average of 3.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at the venue, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Como and Napoli each secured 1 win, with 2 draws
Como scored 4 goals, Napoli 5 goals
The last encounter on February 10, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
Recent meetings have been even
Key Players
For Como, Nico Paz stands out with 12 goals and 6 assists, and an average rating of 7.53
Anastasios Douvikas contributes 12 goals and 1 assist to the offense, his recent form (6.58) is slightly declining
Lucas Da Cunha shows stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
For Napoli, Rasmus Højlund is an important attacker with 11 goals and 3 assists, his last 5 games rating is 6.96
Scott McTominay scored 2 goals in the last 5 games with stable form
Kevin De Bruyne shows stable form in the last 5 games with 1 goal and 1 assist
Goalkeepers
Jean Butez from Como recorded 16 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 7.07
Vanja Milinković-Savić from Napoli achieved 12 clean sheets with a rating of 6.85, his form is rising (7.24 in the last 5 games)
Influences
Como has a strong defense at home, conceding an average of only 0.75 goals
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals per match
The natural grass surface of the stadium is a standard factor
Como's home statistics show 1.7 goals scored per game