Serie A
Cremonese - Pisa
05/10/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Cremonese
Pisa
The Lab
- 1Cremonese with Youssef Maleh: 1.1 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Pisa with Idrissa Touré: 2.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Cremonese: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 4Pisa: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes
- 5Cremonese: 76% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
43%
Draw
31%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
57%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Key Factors
- Cremonese has only 0% of its usual starting XI strength available, missing key players like Federico Bonazzoli (8G/2A) and Jari Vandeputte (1G/4A)
- Pisa has only 0% of its usual starting XI strength available, missing key players like Stefano Moreo (6G/1A) and Mehdi Léris (2G/3A)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Cremonese with a 43% probability
Risk Factors
- Cremonese averages only 0.78 home goals per game
- Pisa's defense is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.82 goals per game
- Both teams show a negative form trend according to Advanced Stats
Overview
Cremonese (18th place, 28 points) host Pisa (20th place, 18 points) at the Stadio Giovanni Zini
Serie A match on May 10, 2026, 3:00 PM
Both teams are fighting at the bottom of the table to avoid relegation
Form
Cremonese shows a form of LLDLL in their last 5 matches
This equates to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Pisa is in an even more difficult phase with a form of LLLLL
This means 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses in their last 5 games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Cremonese averages 0.77 goals scored per game and concedes 1.51 goals
At home, they average 0.78 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded per game
Pisa scores an average of 0.71 goals per match and concedes 1.80 goals
Away, Pisa scores 0.73 goals and concedes 1.82 goals per away game
Cremonese kept 9 clean sheets, while Pisa kept 5 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 15 of Cremonese's games and 15 of Pisa's games
The Stadio Giovanni Zini sees an average of 2.6 goals per game
In 3 of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams so far
Pisa won this single encounter away with a score of 1:0
Pisa's last victory against Cremonese was an away 1:0 win on November 7, 2025
Key Players
For Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli is a key player with 3 goals and 1 assist in 18 venue appearances, as is Jamie Vardy with 3 goals and 1 assist in 13 venue appearances
Filippo Terracciano is also crucial with 2 goals in 19 venue appearances
For Pisa, no specific performance data for their starting players at this venue is available
Goalkeepers
Cremonese goalkeeper Emil Audero has an average season rating of 7.00 and kept 9 clean sheets
Pisa goalkeeper Adrian Semper has an average season rating of 6.93 and achieved 5 clean sheets
Influences
Cremonese scores an average of 0.78 home goals and concedes 1.39 home goals at the Stadio Giovanni Zini
The Stadio Giovanni Zini has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 3 of 5 games at this stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored