Serie A
Torino - Sassuolo
05/08/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Torino
Sassuolo
The Lab
- 1Torino with Ardian Ismajli: 1.8 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Sassuolo with Woyo Coulibaly: 2.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Sassuolo: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (3 of 8 total)
- 4Torino: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5Torino: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
28%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 44% for Torino
- Sassuolo shows a positive form trend with 1.8 goals per game recently, compared to their season average of 1.3 goals
- Torino dominated the last 3 head-to-head matches with 2 wins and 1 draw
Risk Factors
- Torino averaged 1.6 shots on target in the last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
Overview
Torino (13th place, 41 points) host Sassuolo (10th place, 49 points) at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The Serie A match will take place on May 8, 2026, 8:45 PM. Sassuolo is positioned in the mid-table, while Torino is in the lower mid-table.
Form
Torino's form across all competitions is WWDDL, representing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a 0-2 loss against Udinese away. Sassuolo's form is WLWDW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Sassuolo won their last match 2-0 at home against AC Milan. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Torino has scored an average of 1.11 goals per game this season and conceded 1.66 goals. At home, the average is 1.10 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded. Sassuolo averages 1.23 goals scored per game and 1.26 goals conceded. Away, their average is 1.25 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded. Torino kept 12 clean sheets, while Sassuolo had 8. At the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, the last 5 matches averaged 3.4 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In the 3 previous head-to-head encounters between Torino and Sassuolo, Torino has secured 2 victories, while Sassuolo has not won any matches, with 1 game ending in a draw. Torino scored 4 goals and conceded 2 goals. The last meeting saw Torino win 1-0 away on December 21, 2025.
Key Players
For Torino, Giovanni Simeone with 10 seasonal goals, Nikola Vlašić with 8 goals and 3 assists, and Saúl Coco with 1 goal and 1 assist are key players. Sassuolo relies on Armand Laurienté, who contributed 6 goals and 9 assists. Andrea Pinamonti scored 8 seasonal goals and 3 assists, while Kristian Thorstvedt contributed 3 goals and 4 assists.
Goalkeepers
Torino starts with goalkeeper Alberto Paleari, who achieved 5 clean sheets at home in 26 season appearances. For Sassuolo, Arijanet Murić is in goal, having recorded 4 away clean sheets in 31 season appearances.
Influences
Torino's home goals average 1.10 per game, with 1.24 goals conceded. Sassuolo's away goals average 1.25 per game, with 1.31 goals conceded. At the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, the last 5 matches saw an average of 3.4 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 of these matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.