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Serie A

Cremonese - Como

05/24/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 4
Expected Goals
Cremonese
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Como
1.0
Most Likely Scores

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
CRECOM

Cremonese

Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
+0.43
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings disadvantage (pos 18 vs 5, 13 places gap)
-0.13
Rising form (1.2 vs 1 season average)
+0.07
Federico Baschirotto not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)

Como

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.25
Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
-0.20
Declining form (1.5 vs 2 season average)
-0.16
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 18, 13 places gap)
+0.06
Nico Paz on the bench (12 goals, 6 assists)
Álex Valle not in squad (1 goals, 4 assists)
13% of goal output missing (only 90% available)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 2 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Cremonese with Youssef Maleh: 1.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Como with Ignace Van der Brempt: 3.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Como: first goal in 5 of 6 games (83%)

  • 4
    Cremonese: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Como: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

29%

Draw

35%

Away Win

36%

Goals

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

64%

Away or Draw

71%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

39%

No

61%

Key Factors
  • League position: Como is in 5th place, while Cremonese is fighting relegation in 18th place
  • Defensive strength: Como has one of the league's best defenses, conceding an average of 0.76 goals per game
  • Offensive comparison: Como scores an average of 1.65 goals per game, Cremonese only 0.84 goals
Overview

Cremonese (18th place, 34 points) host Como (5th place, 68 points) at the Stadio Giovanni Zini

Serie A match on May 24, 2026, 8:45 PM

The hosts are fighting relegation, while Como is vying for European places

Form

Cremonese showed a form of DLLWW in their last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses during this period

Como, on the other hand, presented a form of LWDWW in their last five games

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Cremonese has won two consecutive games recently

Como also achieved two consecutive victories

Statistics

Cremonese scored an average of 0.84 goals per game and conceded 1.43 goals per match

At home, they scored an average of 0.85 goals and conceded 1.25 goals

Como is stronger offensively with an average of 1.65 goals per game and a strong defense that allows only 0.76 goals

Away from home, they scored an average of 1.62 goals and conceded 0.81 goals

At Stadio Giovanni Zini, an average of 2.8 goals were scored in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games

Head-to-Head

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Cremonese and Como so far

This game ended in a 1:1 draw on September 27, 2025

Both teams scored 1 goal each in this single encounter

The historical record shows an even relationship

Key Players

Federico Bonazzoli is Cremonese's top scorer with 9 season goals and 2 assists

Jamie Vardy has contributed 7 season goals and 2 assists

Alberto Grassi shows a rising form with a current rating of 6.97 in the last 5 games

Not nominated: Federico Baschirotto (2G/0A)

Anastasios Douvikas is Como's top scorer with 13 season goals and 1 assist

Martin Baturina scored 6 season goals and 3 assists, with a rising form (7.49 in the last 5 games)

Lucas Da Cunha contributed 4 season goals and 5 assists and also shows an upward form (7.41 in the last 5 games)

Not nominated: Nico Paz (12G/6A), Álex Valle (1G/4A)

Goalkeepers

Emil Audero of Cremonese kept 11 clean sheets this season

Jean Butez of Como recorded 19 clean sheets

Influences

Cremonese scored an average of 0.85 goals at home and conceded 1.25 goals

Como scored an average of 1.62 goals away and conceded 0.81 goals

At Stadio Giovanni Zini, an average of 2.8 goals were scored in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 4 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

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