Coppa Italia
Como - Inter
03/03/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.1
1.6
1:1
12%1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Como
Inter
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
27%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Offensive clash: Inter's high-volume attack (average 7.0 shots on target) meets Como's disciplined defense (only 0.74 goals conceded per game)
- Clear H2H record: Inter has won all of the last 3 meetings against Como, with an impressive 8-0 goal aggregate
- Como's home strength: At home, Como is very stable defensively, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Heavy rotation for Inter: Only 59% of the usual offensive power is available, as key players like Lautaro Martínez (14 goals) and Federico Dimarco (14 assists) are missing
- Short recovery time: Both teams have had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
Overview
Coppa Italia match between Como and Inter at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Kick-off is on March 3, 2026, 9:00 PM
The mathematical prediction is extremely balanced, with a 36% chance for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 37% for an away win
Form
Como (Form: DLDWW) is unbeaten in three matches and has won its last two games
Overall, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
Inter (Form: WLWLW) shows inconsistent form with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five encounters
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
With an average of 2.37 goals per game, Inter has one of the strongest attacks
Como, on the other hand, boasts a solid defense, conceding only 0.74 goals per game
At home, Como is even more stable with just 0.67 goals conceded per game
An average of 3.4 goals are scored per game at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, and 80% of the last matches saw over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
Inter has clearly dominated the last 3 direct encounters
Inter won all 3 matches with an impressive goal difference of 8-0
The last meeting ended in a 4-0 victory for Inter
Key Players
For Como, Anastasios Douvikas stands out with 9 goals this season
Jesús Rodríguez is the most important playmaker with 7 assists
In midfield, Máximo Perrone pulls the strings with 2 goals and 4 assists
For Inter, Hakan Çalhanoğlu is a central figure with 8 goals and 2 assists
Nicolò Barella has already contributed 5 assists, while Pio Esposito has recorded 4 goals and 4 assists
Goalkeepers
Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez has kept 13 clean sheets this season
For Inter, Josep Martínez is in goal, having made 2 appearances so far this season
The Inter team has kept a total of 15 clean sheets
Influences
The Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals in recent matches
Como is strong at home, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals
Inter is extremely dangerous away from home, scoring an average of 2.36 goals per game on the road