Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles - SC Heerenveen
02/11/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%0:0
8%1:0
7%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
29%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Extremely balanced prediction: The mathematical model sees no clear favorite (37% home win, 35% away win), suggesting a tight match
- Poor form for both teams: Go Ahead Eagles are winless in five, while Heerenveen's form trend is rated 'Negative' with declining goal output
- Home advantage and H2H record: Go Ahead Eagles concede significantly fewer goals at home and have won the majority of recent encounters against Heerenveen
Risk Factors
- Missing key strikers: Both teams are missing important goalscorers (Milan Smit for GAE, Dylan Vente for Heerenveen), which could significantly weaken both sides' attacking power
- Defensive vulnerability: Both teams concede over 1.6 goals per game on average this season, meaning individual errors could decide the match
- Potential fatigue: Go Ahead Eagles had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to exhaustion
Overview
Go Ahead Eagles (14th place, 22 points) host SC Heerenveen (12th place, 25 points) at De Adelaarshorst stadium
The Eredivisie match will take place on February 11, 2026, at 6:45 PM
This is a clash from the lower half of the table where both teams are aiming for important points
The mathematical analysis suggests a very balanced game, with a slight tendency towards a home win (37%)
Form
Go Ahead Eagles form (all competitions): DLDDD
The team is winless in their last five games (4 draws, 1 loss)
SC Heerenveen form (all competitions): WDLDL
Heerenveen has won one of their last five games (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
In the league, Go Ahead Eagles' form is DDLDW, while Heerenveen's is DLLDL
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Both teams score an average of 1.52 goals per game
Defensively, both teams are vulnerable, with Go Ahead Eagles conceding 1.67 goals per game and Heerenveen 1.71
Go Ahead Eagles are defensively more stable at home, conceding only 1.3 goals per game, while Heerenveen concedes an average of 1.89 goals away
In 15 of 21 season games for Go Ahead Eagles, both teams scored, as was the case in 14 of 21 for Heerenveen
Head-to-Head
In the last five direct encounters, Go Ahead Eagles won 3 times, while SC Heerenveen recorded 1 win, with 1 draw
The goal difference from these matches is 8:5 in favor of Go Ahead Eagles
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
Recent history favors the home team
Key Players
For Go Ahead Eagles, Melle Meulensteen is a key player in midfield with 4 goals this season
Jakob Breum and Thibo Baeten have stood out as providers with 3 assists each
For SC Heerenveen, Jacob Trenskow is the most prolific attacker with 7 goals this season
Oliver Braude stands out with 4 assists as a creative force
Goalkeepers
Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles has kept 3 clean sheets in 21 appearances this season
SC Heerenveen's team, with goalkeeper Bernt Klaverboer, has managed to keep 2 clean sheets this season
Influences
Go Ahead Eagles show a significantly stronger defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game
At De Adelaarshorst stadium, an average of 2.4 goals have been scored in the last 5 games
In 80% of Go Ahead Eagles' last home games, both teams have scored