Eredivisie
Feyenoord - Heracles Almelo
01/25/2026, 03:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.9
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
35%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
45%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Massive offensive weakening for Feyenoord: 38% of their season's goals are missing, including top scorer A. Ueda (18 goals)
- Extreme contrast: Feyenoord's strong home attack (2.5 goals/game) meets Heracles' catastrophic away defense (4.17 goals conceded/game)
- Historical dominance (5-0 wins for Feyenoord) clashes with the current miserable form of both teams
Risk Factors
- The prediction is highly dependent on how Feyenoord's replacement players fill the gap of 38% missing goal-scoring capacity
- Feyenoord has had only 3 days of rest, which could lead to fatigue, especially with a depleted squad
- Extreme contradictions between historical data (Feyenoord dominance) and the current squad situation (Feyenoord's severe injuries)
Overview
Feyenoord (3rd place, 36 points) hosts Heracles Almelo (18th place, 14 points) at Stadion Feijenoord
The Eredivisie match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 4:45 PM
A clash between a top-tier team and the bottom-placed team, complicated by current form and injury concerns on both sides
Form
Feyenoord: LDDLW - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses
Heracles Almelo: DLLLL - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses
Both teams are in poor form, with Heracles Almelo on a four-game losing streak
Feyenoord's last result was a win, while Heracles lost
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Feyenoord's offense scores an average of 2.47 goals per game (2.5 at home)
Heracles Almelo's defense is extremely vulnerable away, conceding an average of 4.17 goals per game
Heracles Almelo's defense concedes 2.53 goals per game overall, while Feyenoord's is at 1.42
At Stadion Feijenoord, recent matches have seen an average of 4.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of the cases
Head-to-Head
Feyenoord has completely dominated the last 5 encounters
Feyenoord won all 5 matches, while Heracles Almelo couldn't secure a single one
The goal difference is clearly in Feyenoord's favor at 23:3
The last meeting ended with a decisive 7-0 victory for Feyenoord
Key Players
Ayase Ueda has scored 18 goals for Feyenoord this season
Sem Steijn has contributed with 7 goals and 2 assists
Jizz Hornkamp is the top scorer for Heracles Almelo with 10 seasonal goals
Ajdin Hrustic has provided 6 assists as a playmaker
Goalkeepers
Feyenoord's Timon Wellenreuther has kept 6 clean sheets in 19 appearances
For Heracles Almelo, Timo Jansink has played in 11 matches; the team as a whole has only one clean sheet
Influences
Recent matches at Stadion Feijenoord have been very high-scoring, with an average of 4.6 goals per game
Feyenoord's home record on grass this season is 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses
Heracles Almelo has not won an away game on grass yet (1 draw, 6 losses)
Heracles' away record is particularly poor, with an average of 4.17 goals conceded per game