Eredivisie
PSV - NAC Breda
01/24/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.4
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
32%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Difference in class: League leaders PSV (3.1 home goals per game) face 17th-placed NAC Breda (2.29 goals conceded per away game)
- Strong form vs. crisis: PSV has won 4 of its last 5 games, while NAC Breda is winless in its last 5 matches
- Historical dominance: PSV has won all of the last 5 head-to-head encounters against NAC Breda, showing clear psychological superiority
Risk Factors
- PSV's injury concerns: The absence of key offensive players like Ricardo Pepi (8 goals) could unexpectedly reduce the favorite's goal-scoring threat
- High-scoring venue: An average of 5.6 goals are scored per game at the Philips Stadion, which could lead to unpredictable match dynamics
- Questionable table data: The league table shows 0 games played for all teams, yet points and form statistics exist, indicating a potential data inconsistency
Overview
League leaders PSV (1st place, 52 points) host relegation candidates NAC Breda (17th place, 14 points) at the Philips Stadion
The Eredivisie match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 8:00 PM
The situation is clear with a 38-point difference in the table
Form
PSV Form: WWWWL
In the last 5 games, there were 4 wins and 1 loss
NAC Breda Form: LDLDL
In the last 5 games, there were 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
The form clearly favors PSV (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
PSV scores an average of 3.1 goals per game at home and concedes 1.4
NAC Breda scores an average of 1.0 goal per game away and concedes 2.29
Both teams scored in 13 of PSV's 19 games this season
At Philips Stadion, there's an average of 5.6 goals per game, and the last 5 matches have all been over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV dominated with 5 wins
NAC Breda failed to win a single game, and there were no draws
The goal difference is 11:2 in favor of PSV
The last meeting in November 2025 ended in a 1-0 victory for PSV
Key Players
Joey Veerman is a key player for PSV with 8 goals and 8 assists
Guus Til is also a crucial offensive force with 11 seasonal goals
Moussa Soumano recently scored 2 goals in one match for NAC Breda
Sydney van Hooijdonk is NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Matej Kovar is in goal for PSV and has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Daniel Bielica is the goalkeeper for NAC Breda and has managed 2 clean sheets so far
Influences
PSV has a strong home advantage, winning 8 of 10 home games on natural grass
NAC Breda has won only 1 of 10 away games on natural grass
The Philips Stadion is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 5.6 goals in the last 5 matches