Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen - PEC Zwolle
01/24/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.1
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
45%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Offensive Mismatch: NEC's strong home scoring record (2.56 goals per game) meets PEC Zwolle's weak away defense (2.55 goals conceded per game)
- Superior Form: NEC is unbeaten in their last five games (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas PEC Zwolle has shown inconsistent form
- Historical Dominance: NEC is undefeated in the last five head-to-head meetings against PEC Zwolle, indicating a psychological edge
Risk Factors
- Dangerous Attacker: PEC Zwolle's Shola Shoretire has scored 4 goals in the last 5 games and could trouble an NEC defense that has rarely kept clean sheets recently
- High-Scoring Venue: The average of 3.8 goals per game at Sportpark De Weeren suggests an open, unpredictable match that could be decided by individual moments
- Limited Data: The league table data shows 0 games played for all teams, which complicates a full statistical analysis of the league standings
Overview
NEC Nijmegen (4th place, 32 points) hosts PEC Zwolle (11th place, 23 points) at Sportpark De Weeren
This is an Eredivisie match scheduled for January 24, 2026, at 6:45 PM
NEC Nijmegen is fighting for crucial points to solidify their position in the top tier, while PEC Zwolle aims to establish themselves in the mid-table
Form
NEC Nijmegen: WWDDW - 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
PEC Zwolle: LWLDW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
NEC Nijmegen is unbeaten in their last five matches, showing significantly more stable form than PEC Zwolle
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
NEC Nijmegen has a strong offense, averaging 2.61 goals scored per game, and 2.56 at home
PEC Zwolle's defense is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.55 goals per game
15 of NEC's 18 season games have seen over 2.5 goals
The venue, Sportpark De Weeren, is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals per match and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score' in recent fixtures
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, NEC Nijmegen has dominated with 3 wins, while 2 matches ended in a draw
PEC Zwolle has not won any of these games
The goal difference is 9:5 in favor of NEC Nijmegen
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
Bryan Linssen is a key player for NEC Nijmegen with 6 goals and 7 assists
Sami Ouaissa is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games
For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons is the top scorer with 8 seasonal goals
Shola Shoretire is on a hot streak, having scored 4 goals in his last 5 appearances
Goalkeepers
NEC Nijmegen has kept 3 clean sheets this season
PEC Zwolle has managed 4 clean sheets
NEC's goalkeeper, Gonzalo Crettaz, and PEC Zwolle's Tom de Graaff face a duel between two offensively-minded teams
Influences
NEC Nijmegen has a clear home advantage and a strong record on grass surfaces (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)
PEC Zwolle has not yet won an away game on a grass pitch (0 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses)
The stadium's statistics suggest a high-scoring game, which could favor NEC's offensive strength