Eredivisie
PSV - Feyenoord
02/01/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.5
1.8
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
35%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
96%
Over 2.5
88%
Over 3.5
56%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
78%
No
22%
Key Factors
- Offensive Showdown: Two of the league's best attacks (PSV 3.05 goals/game, Feyenoord 2.55 goals/game) face off, promising a high-scoring match
- Trend vs. History: Feyenoord's positive form trend and increasing goal output clash with PSV's historical dominance in head-to-head encounters (4 wins in the last 5)
- Strong Squad Depth: Despite long injury lists, the data indicates that both teams are compensating for the absences and can field almost their entire goal-scoring threat (98% and 100% respectively)
Risk Factors
- Defensive Vulnerability: Both teams concede over a goal per game on average, and recent conceded goals averages are even higher (PSV 1.8, Feyenoord 2.0)
- Potential Fatigue: Feyenoord has a shorter recovery period with only three days compared to PSV's four, which could be a slight disadvantage
- Data Discrepancy: The extensive injury lists contradict the statement that absences are compensated, suggesting a potential underestimation of the impact
Overview
A top clash in the Eredivisie is coming up: league leader PSV (1st place, 53 points) hosts second-placed Feyenoord (2nd place, 39 points)
The match will take place on February 1, 2026, at 2:30 PM at the Philips Stadion
PSV aims to extend their lead at the top, while Feyenoord wants to close the gap and stay in the title race
Form
PSV: WWLDL - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Feyenoord: DLWWL - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Both teams have an identical record in their last five matches, suggesting a balanced encounter
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Two of the league's strongest offenses face each other
PSV scores an average of 3.05 goals per game for the season, while Feyenoord averages 2.55
PSV is also very strong at home with an average of 3.0 goals
Both defenses are vulnerable: PSV concedes an average of 1.25 goals, Feyenoord 1.45
In 14 of PSV's 20 games and 13 of Feyenoord's 20 games, both teams scored
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct duels, PSV clearly dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw
Feyenoord failed to win any of these matches
The goal difference of 13:7 also speaks clearly in favor of PSV
The last encounter ended in a 3-2 victory for PSV
Key Players
For PSV, Guus Til is the top scorer with 11 season goals, closely followed by Ismael Saibari with 9 goals
Joey Veerman is the central playmaker with 8 goals and 10 assists
For Feyenoord, Ayase Ueda is the standout striker with 18 season goals
Sem Steijn has contributed 7 goals, while Anis Hadj Moussa also plays a key role with 6 goals and 4 assists
Goalkeepers
PSV's goalkeeper Matej Kovar has kept 5 clean sheets in 20 league games this season
Feyenoord's keeper Timon Wellenreuther has 6 clean sheets from 20 appearances
Both goalkeepers face a challenge against the strong attacking lines
Influences
PSV has a strong home record on natural grass with 6 wins from 10 matches and 23 goals scored
Feyenoord's away record on this surface is weaker with 3 wins and 5 losses
The Philips Stadion is known for high-scoring games: an average of 5.0 goals were scored in the last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 100% of cases