Eredivisie
NAC Breda - FC Twente
01/30/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
3.6
2.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
18%
Draw
19%
Away Win
63%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
49%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
37%
Away or Draw
82%
No Draw
81%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Class and Form Disparity: The gap is significant between relegation-threatened NAC Breda (winless in 5 games) and the in-form FC Twente (unbeaten in 5)
- Twente's Offensive Superiority: With 1.45 goals per game and dominant shooting stats (6.8 shots on target), Twente's attack meets a vulnerable Breda defense (1.6 goals conceded per game)
- Twente's Away Strength: FC Twente is one of the strongest away teams in the league, conceding an average of only one goal, which negates Breda's home advantage
Risk Factors
- Venue Statistics: The Rat Verlegh Stadion has been very low-scoring this season (only 20% of games over 2.5 goals), which contradicts a high-scoring prediction and could point to a tighter match
- Twente's Missing Firepower: The absence of forward S. Lammers (2 season goals) could slightly limit the visitors' offensive options
Overview
NAC Breda, in 17th place with 15 points, hosts FC Twente, who are 8th with 30 points
The Eredivisie match will take place on January 30, 2026, at 8:00 PM at the Rat Verlegh Stadion
NAC Breda is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while FC Twente aims to solidify their position in the top half of the table
Form
NAC Breda is in poor form, having not won any of their last five matches
Form: DLDLD - 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
FC Twente is unbeaten in their last five games and in significantly better shape
Form: WDDWD - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
FC Twente is stronger offensively, averaging 1.45 goals per game compared to NAC Breda's 1.05
Defensively, Twente is also more solid, conceding only 1.1 goals per game, while NAC Breda concedes 1.6
Twente is particularly strong away, scoring 1.45 goals per game while conceding only 1.0
NAC Breda has a negative record at home, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded
The Rat Verlegh Stadion has seen an average of only 2.4 goals per game this season, with over 2.5 goals occurring in just 20% of matches
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, FC Twente has a slight edge with two wins, while NAC Breda has won once, and two matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is narrow at 7-6 in favor of FC Twente
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
For NAC Breda, Sydney van Hooijdonk stands out with 5 goals this season
Boy Kemper is also a key player for the home team with 3 goals and 2 assists
Moussa Soumano has shown rising form recently with 2 goals in his last five games
For FC Twente, Ricky van Wolfswinkel is the top scorer with 7 goals
Daan Rots is also very dangerous with 5 goals and 2 assists, scoring 2 goals in his last five appearances
Goalkeepers
NAC Breda's goalkeeper is Daniel Bielica, who has kept 2 clean sheets in 19 appearances this season
Przemyslaw Tyton will start for FC Twente
The team has kept a total of 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
NAC Breda has a poor record on natural grass, with only one win in ten matches (1W-5D-4L)
FC Twente is more comfortable on natural grass, having lost only one of ten games (2W-7D-1L)
Statistics from the Rat Verlegh Stadion suggest a rather low-scoring game, with an average of just 2.4 goals per match