Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar
02/08/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.3
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
24%
Draw
28%
Away Win
48%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
22%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
52%
Away or Draw
76%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Critical home team absences: Go Ahead Eagles must play without their top two scorers, Mathis Suray (8 goals) and Milan Smit (6 goals), leaving only 35% of their usual goal threat on the pitch
- Visitors' defensive vulnerability: Telstar concedes an average of 2.0 goals away from home, which could provide opportunities even for a weakened home attack
- Relegation battle dynamics: Both teams are in poor form and under pressure, which could lead to an error-prone and unpredictable match
Risk Factors
- Over-reliance on squad data: The forecast heavily leans on the absence of the home team's top strikers. If the replacement players overperform, the outcome could be different
- Tendency for draws: Although Go Ahead Eagles are winless, they have drawn 4 of their last 5 games, suggesting they are difficult to beat, especially at home
Overview
Go Ahead Eagles (14th place, 22 points) host Telstar (17th place, 16 points) at De Adelaarshorst
This is a crucial match in the Eredivisie relegation battle
The game takes place on February 8, 2026, at 2:30 PM
Form
Go Ahead Eagles form: DDLDD
In the last 5 games, there have been 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss
Telstar form: WLDLL
In the last 5 games, there have been 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Both teams are not in good form, with Go Ahead Eagles being winless in five games
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Go Ahead Eagles scores an average of 1.55 goals per game this season and concedes 1.70
Telstar scores an average of 1.19 goals and concedes 1.76
At home, Go Ahead Eagles are more solid with 1.5 goals per game compared to their away record
Telstar is defensively vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game
Head-to-Head
In the only head-to-head meeting recorded in the data, Telstar won
The match ended 4-2 for Telstar
The goal difference from that encounter is 4-2 in favor of Telstar
Key Players
Victor Edvardsen has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists for Go Ahead Eagles this season
Thibo Baeten has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games
Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp is an important player for Telstar with 4 goals this season
Jeff Hardeveld has proven to be a key figure for the visitors with 3 goals and 4 assists
Goalkeepers
Go Ahead Eagles' Jari De Busser has kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches this season
Daan Reiziger, starting for Telstar, has played 1 match this season, without keeping a clean sheet
Influences
Go Ahead Eagles' home record on natural grass is weak, with 0 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses
Telstar has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses on natural grass away from home
At De Adelaarshorst, games average 2.8 goals, and 60% of matches see both teams score