Eredivisie
NAC Breda - Excelsior
02/06/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.5
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
30%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
25%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Relegation battle: Both teams are under pressure and winless in five games, suggesting a tight match where avoiding mistakes might be the priority
- Defensive frailties: Both defenses are vulnerable, especially Excelsior's away record (2.3 goals conceded per game), which could lead to goals despite poor form
- Slight offensive trend: Despite not winning, both teams have recently scored more goals than their season average, indicating potential improvement in attack
Risk Factors
- Unpredictable form: The long winless streaks of both teams (NAC Breda: LDLDD, Excelsior: LDDDD) make the outcome difficult to predict
- Key defensive absence: The home team is missing key defender B. Kemper, who also contributes offensively (3 goals, 2 assists)
Overview
NAC Breda, in 17th place in the table with 16 points, hosts Excelsior, who are in 13th place with 23 points
The Eredivisie match will take place on February 6, 2026, at 8:00 PM at the Rat Verlegh Stadion
This is a crucial match for both teams in the fight against relegation
Form
Both teams are in poor form and have not won in their last five matches
NAC Breda: LDLDD - 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
Excelsior: LDDDD - 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss
Excelsior has drawn their last four matches, while NAC Breda has achieved two consecutive draws recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
The offensive performances of both teams are nearly identical, with an average of 1.1 goals per game for NAC Breda and 1.05 for Excelsior
Defensively, NAC Breda is slightly more stable with 1.62 goals conceded per game compared to Excelsior's 1.76
Excelsior's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.3 goals
Both teams scored in 12 of NAC Breda's 21 league games, while for Excelsior this occurred in 13 of 21 games
Head-to-Head
The record of the last five head-to-head encounters is perfectly balanced
In 5 matches, there were 2 wins for NAC Breda, 2 wins for Excelsior, and 1 draw
The goal difference is also even at 5:5
The last meeting was won by Excelsior with a score of 1-0
Key Players
For NAC Breda, attackers Charles-Andreas Brym (2 goals, 4 assists) and Moussa Soumano (3 season goals) stand out, with their form trending upwards
Sydney van Hooijdonk is the team's top scorer with 5 season goals
For Excelsior, Noah Naujoks is the most prolific scorer with 6 season goals
Irakli Yegoian has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists, while Gyan de Regt has provided 3 assists so far this season
Goalkeepers
NAC Breda's Daniel Bielica has kept 2 clean sheets in 20 appearances this season
Excelsior's Stijn van Gassel has kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches
Influences
The match will be played on a grass surface at the Rat Verlegh Stadion
In the last five matches at this stadium, there has been an average of 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of the cases
Excelsior has a poor away record on grass, with only one win, two draws, and five losses, and a goal difference of 6:20