Eredivisie
FC Twente - SC Heerenveen
02/07/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.5
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
41%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
72%
No
28%
Key Factors
- Attacking potential: Both teams are strong offensively according to tactical metrics, suggesting an open game
- Historical dominance: FC Twente is unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head encounters (3 wins, 2 draws)
- Venue paradox: The high goal prediction starkly contrasts with the extremely low-scoring record of the last 5 home games at De Grolsch Veste (only 1.0 goals on average)
Risk Factors
- Goal drought at the venue: The biggest risk factor is the venue's statistics, which contradict the high goal expectation with only 1.0 goals per game and 0% over 2.5 in the last five matches
- Twente's tendency for draws: FC Twente has drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating difficulty in securing wins
Overview
FC Twente (7th place, 31 points) hosts SC Heerenveen (11th place, 25 points) at De Grolsch Veste
The Eredivisie match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM
It's a mid-table clash where Twente aims to stay in touch with the top positions
Form
FC Twente form: DDWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 matches, they have 1 win and 4 draws
SC Heerenveen form: WWDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The visitors have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Statistics
FC Twente scores an average of 1.48 goals per game and concedes 1.14
SC Heerenveen is slightly stronger offensively with 1.6 goals per game, but also more vulnerable defensively with 1.55 goals conceded
FC Twente has kept a clean sheet in 5 of 21 league games
SC Heerenveen has seen over 2.5 goals in 13 of their 20 matches, compared to only 8 of 21 for Twente
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, FC Twente won 3 times, while SC Heerenveen recorded no wins, with 2 draws
The goal difference is 11-7 in favor of FC Twente
FC Twente has dominated the recent record
The last match ended 2-1 for FC Twente
Key Players
Ricky van Wolfswinkel is FC Twente's top scorer with 8 goals this season
Daan Rots has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists for the home team
Jacob Trenskow is SC Heerenveen's most successful attacker with 7 goals this season
Dylan Vente has scored 6 goals, while Luuk Brouwers has 3 goals and 4 assists
Goalkeepers
Lars Unnerstall has kept 5 clean sheets in 20 appearances for FC Twente
Bernt Klaverboer has played in 15 matches for SC Heerenveen; the team has a total of 2 clean sheets
Influences
The last five matches at De Grolsch Veste have been extremely low-scoring, with an average of only 1.0 goals per game
In only one of these five home games did both teams score
None of the last five home matches have ended with more than 2.5 goals
Both teams play on natural grass, which offers no specific advantage