Eredivisie
FC Groningen - PSV
02/08/2026, 03:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.9
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
34%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- Clash of styles: PSV's league-best attack (3.11 away goals per game) faces Groningen's strong home defense (0.82 goals conceded per game)
- Historical dominance: PSV has won 4 of the last 5 encounters with a goal difference of 20:7, indicating a clear psychological advantage
- Current dip in form: Both teams show a negative form trend, which could level the playing field and lead to a closer game than the table suggests
Risk Factors
- League leader's inconsistency: Despite being top of the table, PSV has lost two of their last five league games, showing unusual vulnerability
- Groningen's offensive struggles: Analysis indicates Groningen's recent goal output has dropped to 1.0 per game, which may not be enough against a top team
- Missing key player: PSV will be without important forward Ricardo Pepi (8 goals), limiting their attacking options
Overview
FC Groningen, in 8th place with 31 points, hosts league leaders PSV, who have 56 points, at the Euroborg. The Eredivisie match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 4:45 PM. Groningen aims to solidify their mid-table position, while PSV looks to extend their lead at the top.
Form
FC Groningen: DDWLL - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 games. The team is on a negative run after two consecutive losses.
PSV: WLDLW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in the last 5 games. The league leader's form is inconsistent by their standards, but they won their last match.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
PSV has the most potent attack in the league, averaging 3.05 goals per game, and are particularly strong away with 3.11 goals. FC Groningen averages 1.33 goals per game but is very solid defensively at home, conceding only 0.82 goals per home match. PSV has been involved in matches where both teams scored in 14 out of 21 games this season.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, PSV has clearly dominated with 4 wins to FC Groningen's one. The goal difference of 20:7 in favor of PSV highlights this dominance. The last match was won by PSV 4-2.
Key Players
For FC Groningen, Brynjólfur Willumsson (6 season goals) and Stije Resink (4 goals, 5 assists) are the key offensive players. For PSV, Guus Til (12 goals), Ismael Saibari (10 goals, 4 assists), and playmaker Joey Veerman (8 goals, 11 assists) stand out.
Goalkeepers
FC Groningen's goalkeeper, Etienne Vaessen, has kept 7 clean sheets this season. PSV's goalkeeper, Matej Kovar, has managed to keep a clean sheet in 6 matches.
Influences
The Euroborg has seen an average of 2.4 goals in recent games, with both teams scoring in 60% of those matches. On natural grass, PSV has a much better record with 6 wins from 10 games, compared to FC Groningen's 3 wins from 10.