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Eredivisie

FC Volendam - PSV

02/13/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
FC Volendam
1.0
Total xG
2.7
PSV
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

0:1

10%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

0:0

8%
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

21%

Draw

27%

Away Win

52%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

48%

Away or Draw

79%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Class difference in the table: The dominant league leader PSV (league form WWWLW) meets relegation-threatened FC Volendam (league form DDDDL)
  • Offensive superiority: PSV is the league's goal machine with 3.0 goals per game, while Volendam's attack is one of the weaker ones with 1.09 goals
  • Historical dominance: PSV has won all of the last five head-to-head encounters, with an overwhelming goal difference of 21:5
Risk Factors
  • Key absences for PSV: With Ismael Saibari (11 goals), a key player is missing, leaving only 65% of the usual goal threat in the squad
  • Volendam's home fortress: The team is extremely difficult to beat at the Kras Stadion, conceding only 0.88 goals per game at home
  • Stuttering PSV offense: The visitors' goal production has recently dropped; the average of recent games (1.6 goals) is well below the season average (2.7)
Overview

At the Kras Stadion, FC Volendam (15th place, 21 points) hosts league leaders PSV (1st place, 59 points)

The Eredivisie match takes place on February 13, 2026, at 8:00 PM

It's a classic David vs. Goliath clash, where Volendam fights for crucial points in the relegation battle, while PSV aims to extend their lead at the top

Form

The form of both teams in all competitions is identical: FC Volendam LWLDW, PSV LDLWW, which equates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

However, PSV has won their last two matches

In the league, the difference is clear: Volendam's form is DDDDL, while PSV boasts a series of WWWLW

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

PSV has by far the best attack in the league, averaging 3.0 goals per game (Volendam: 1.09)

Defensively, the league leaders are also more stable with 1.18 goals conceded per game compared to Volendam's 1.68

A crucial factor could be Volendam's home strength: at the Kras Stadion, the team concedes only 0.88 goals per game

At this stadium, recent matches have seen an average of 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of the games

Head-to-Head

The historical record speaks clearly in favor of PSV

The visitors have won all of the last five head-to-head encounters

The goal difference of 21:5 for PSV underscores this dominance

The last meeting ended in a 3-0 victory for PSV

Key Players

Brandley Kuwas is an important attacking player for the home team with 4 season goals and 3 assists

Ozan Kökcü has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists this season

For PSV, Guus Til is the top scorer with 12 season goals

Joey Veerman is the creative mastermind in midfield with 8 goals and 11 assists

Goalkeepers

Kayne van Oevelen is in goal for Volendam and has kept one clean sheet this season

His counterpart is Niek Schiks from PSV, whose team has already kept a clean sheet 6 times

Influences

Volendam is significantly stronger defensively at home than away

The artificial turf at the Kras Stadion is not a disadvantage for either team

PSV has won both of its previous season games on this surface with a goal difference of 6:1

The stadium statistics suggest an entertaining match, as both teams scored in 80% of the last games

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