Eredivisie
Telstar - FC Twente
02/15/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
3.6
2.6
1:2
9%1:3
8%0:3
8%1:4
5%0:4
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
12%
Draw
18%
Away Win
70%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
30%
Away or Draw
88%
No Draw
82%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Clear difference in form and quality: Relegation-threatened and winless in five games Telstar meets an in-form, unbeaten Twente from the top half of the table
- Twente's statistical dominance: The visitors are superior in all relevant offensive (1.64 vs 1.18 goals/game) and defensive (1.09 vs 1.73 goals conceded/game) statistics
- Tactical control expected: Twente's possession-dominant style (55% possession) is likely to dictate the game against a counter-attacking Telstar (41% possession)
Risk Factors
- Absence of top scorer: FC Twente must manage without their top scorer Ricky van Wolfswinkel (8 season goals), which could weaken their attack despite still having 72% of goal production available
- Unpredictable venue: Although Telstar's home record on artificial turf is weak, the BUKO Stadion averages 3.0 goals per game, which could lead to surprises
- Personnel issues for the home team: Telstar is missing key players like Patrick Brouwer (3 goals, 2 assists) and others, further complicating their already difficult situation
Overview
Telstar, in 17th place with 17 points, hosts FC Twente, seventh with 34 points
The Eredivisie match takes place on February 15, 2026, at 2:30 PM at the BUKO Stadion
The home team is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while the visitors aim to solidify their position in the top half of the table
Form
The form curves of the two teams are contrasting
Telstar's form from the last five competitive matches is LDLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), leaving the team winless
FC Twente is unbeaten in five games with a form of DWDDW (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
In the league, Telstar's form is LLDWL, while Twente's is LLWLD
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
FC Twente is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per game, while Telstar is at 1.18
Defensively, the visitors are also more stable, conceding only 1.09 goals per game compared to Telstar's 1.73
Away from home, Twente scores a strong 1.64 goals per game, while Telstar concedes an average of 1.64 goals at home
The stadium's statistics suggest goals, with an average of 3.0 goals per game and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score'
Head-to-Head
There has only been one direct duel between the two teams so far
It ended in a goalless 0-0 draw
Due to the limited number of encounters, the H2H statistics have limited significance
Key Players
For Telstar, Jeff Hardeveld (4 season goals, 4 assists) and Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp (4 goals, 1 assist) are among the key performers
For FC Twente, Daan Rots (6 goals, 3 assists), Mats Rots (4 goals, 3 assists), and Sam Lammers (3 goals, 1 assist) are important offensive players
Goalkeepers
Telstar's goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. has kept 3 clean sheets in 21 appearances
Lars Unnerstall of FC Twente has managed 6 clean sheets in 21 matches
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf, which could have an impact
Telstar has not won a single game in their last 10 home matches on this surface (0 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses)
FC Twente has a balanced record on artificial turf (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
The venue is known for high-scoring games, confirmed by a goal average of 3.0 per match in recent fixtures