Eredivisie
PSV - SC Heerenveen
02/21/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.4
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
25%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Key Factors
- PSV's home strength: Averaging 3.0 goals per home game, PSV is an offensive force at the Philips Stadion
- Clear superiority in the table and H2H: The huge points gap and historical dominance (4 of 5 wins) favor PSV
- Difference in quality: Despite Heerenveen's recent winning streak, PSV's squad quality and season performance are significantly higher
Risk Factors
- Heerenveen's attacking threat: The visitors come in on a two-game winning streak and consistently score 1.7 goals per away game, which will challenge the PSV defense
- PSV's recent dip in form: PSV's goal production has recently dropped from 2.7 to 1.8 goals per game
- Injury concerns for PSV: The absence of key players like striker R. Pepi could have an impact
Overview
League leaders PSV (1st place, 59 points) host SC Heerenveen (8th place, 31 points) at the Philips Stadion
The Eredivisie match takes place on February 21, 2026, at 6:45 PM
PSV aims to extend their lead at the top of the table, while Heerenveen is targeting a spot in European competition
Form
PSV Form: DLWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last five games, PSV have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their last match was a loss against FC Volendam
SC Heerenveen Form: LDLWW
Heerenveen also has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches
The team comes into this game with the momentum of two consecutive wins
Statistics
PSV has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.91 goals per game, while Heerenveen scores 1.70
Defensively, PSV is also more solid with 1.22 goals conceded per game compared to Heerenveen's 1.70
PSV is particularly dominant at home, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game
Heerenveen is vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 1.8 goals
Both teams' matches are often high-scoring, reflected by both teams scoring in 16 of their 23 games
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, PSV has dominated with 4 wins, while SC Heerenveen has won only once
The goal difference is clearly in favor of PSV at 14-2
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for PSV
Key Players
Joey Veerman is a key player in PSV's midfield with 8 goals and 11 assists
Guus Til (12 goals, 3 assists) and Ismael Saibari (11 goals, 4 assists) are also crucial for PSV
For Heerenveen, Jacob Trenskow is the most prominent attacker with 8 goals this season
Lasse NordÄs has proven his goal-scoring threat with 3 goals in his recent appearances
Ringo Meerveld has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Matej Kovar is in goal for PSV and has kept 6 clean sheets in 21 appearances this season
Bernt Klaverboer, SC Heerenveen's goalkeeper, has managed 2 clean sheets in 18 games
Influences
PSV's home advantage is statistically significant, with an average of 3.0 goals scored per home game
The Philips Stadion has recently been a venue for high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.6 goals in the last five games
All five of these home matches have seen more than 2.5 goals