Eredivisie
FC Twente - FC Groningen
02/22/2026, 11:15 AM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.1
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%3:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Drastic form difference: Twente is unbeaten in 5 games, while Groningen has suffered four consecutive losses
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Twente is defensively solid at home (1.0 goals conceded/game), while Groningen concedes an average of 1.7 goals away
- Historical record: Twente has not lost any of the last 5 encounters against Groningen (2 wins, 3 draws)
Risk Factors
- Low-scoring games at the venue: Twente's last 5 home games averaged only 2.0 goals per match, which could indicate a tight result
- Strong away goalkeeper: Groningen's Etienne Vaessen has already kept 7 clean sheets this season, one more than his counterpart
Overview
FC Twente (7th place, 35 points) hosts FC Groningen (8th place, 31 points) at De Grolsch Veste
Eredivisie match on February 22, 2026, 12:15 PM
This is a clash between teams close in the standings, with the home team considered the favorite, supported by a 55% mathematical win probability
Form
FC Twente is in good form, unbeaten in their last 5 games (Form: WDDWD)
They have achieved 2 wins and 3 draws in this period
FC Groningen is in a crisis, having lost their last 4 matches (Form: WLLLL)
Overall, they have 1 win and 4 losses from their last 5 fixtures
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, FC Twente is slightly stronger with an average of 1.61 goals per game compared to FC Groningen's 1.30
At home, Twente scores an average of 1.64 goals
Defensively, the difference is more pronounced: Twente concedes only 1.00 goal per game at home
FC Groningen is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.70 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, FC Twente has the upper hand
The home team won 2 times, while 3 matches ended in a draw, leaving FC Groningen winless
The goal difference also clearly favors FC Twente at 8:3
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
For FC Twente, Daan Rots (6 goals, 3 assists) and Mats Rots (4 goals, 3 assists) are key offensive players
Ramiz Zerrouki controls the game from midfield
For FC Groningen, Stije Resink (4 goals, 5 assists) and Younes Taha (4 goals, 4 assists) are the crucial players in attack
Thom van Bergen has also scored 4 goals this season
Goalkeepers
The goalkeeper matchup features Lars Unnerstall for FC Twente and Etienne Vaessen for FC Groningen
Unnerstall has kept 6 clean sheets this season
Vaessen has managed to keep his goal clean 7 times already
Influences
FC Twente enjoys a clear home advantage and is defensively stable at home (1.00 goals conceded per game)
However, the last 5 games at De Grolsch Veste have been rather low-scoring, with an average of only 2.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in only one of these 5 home matches