Eredivisie
AZ - Sparta Rotterdam
02/22/2026, 03:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
29%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Form Contrast: Sparta Rotterdam is on a five-game unbeaten streak, while AZ has shown significant inconsistency in their recent matches
- Offensive Trends: Sparta's attack is on the rise, recently averaging 2.0 goals per game, whereas AZ's offense has dropped to just 1.0 goal per game, well below their season average
- High Stakes: This is a direct confrontation for 5th place in the league, with only one point separating the two teams
Risk Factors
- Potential Fatigue for AZ: The home team has had only 3 days of rest since their last game, which could impact their performance
- Historical Head-to-Head: Despite Sparta's superior current form, AZ has a strong historical record against them, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings
Overview
A crucial Eredivisie clash as AZ (6th place, 36 points) host Sparta Rotterdam (5th place, 37 points) at the AFAS Stadion
The match takes place on February 22, 2026, at 4:45 PM
With just one point separating them, this is a direct battle for a top-five position
Form
AZ's recent form is inconsistent with the results 'WLDWL' (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Sparta Rotterdam arrives in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five matches with the form 'WWWDD' (3 wins, 2 draws)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, AZ has a slight edge, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Sparta's 1.3
Defensively, both teams have been equally vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.61 goals per match this season
AZ's games have seen both teams score in 17 out of 23 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, AZ has had the upper hand
The home team has won 3 times, Sparta Rotterdam has won once, and there has been 1 draw
AZ won the most recent meeting 1-0
Key Players
For AZ, watch out for top scorer Troy Parrott (12 goals) and defenders Alexandre Penetra and Wouter Goes
Sparta Rotterdam's attack is led by Tobias Lauritsen (10 goals), supported by the in-form Shunsuke Mito (5 goals, 3 assists) and Joshua Kitolano (5 goals)
Goalkeepers
AZ's goalkeeper Jeroen Zoet has been part of a defense that kept 5 clean sheets this season
Sparta Rotterdam's Joël Drommel has had more success, contributing to 9 clean sheets for his team
Influences
At home, AZ scores an average of 1.69 goals while conceding 1.54
Interestingly, the last five matches at the AFAS Stadion have seen a low average of just 1.8 goals per game, with only one of them going over 2.5 goals